Euro 2024 Spain vs. Albania: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Austan Kas
Austan Kas@AustanKas
Euro 2024 Spain vs. Albania: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Euro 2024 is underway, and we are into the final round of group matches. FanDuel Sportsbook is offering Euro 2024 odds for each game.

On Monday, June 24th, Spain (8th in the FIFA rankings) take on Albania (66th).

What should we expect from this matchup?

All Euro 2024 odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

Euro 2024 Spain vs. Albania: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Spain vs. Albania Odds

  • Spain to Win: -240
  • Albania to Win: +650
  • Draw: +370
  • Over 2.5 Goal Odds: -136
  • Under 2.5 Goal Odds: +112

Spain vs. Albania Analysis

Spain won 3-0 over Croatia in its opening match but actually lost that game on expected goals (xG) 2.1-2.0, per FBRef's model. They followed that up with a 1-0 win over Italy where they dominated on xG by a tally of 1.9-0.2. It was one of the best single-game performances of the tourney so far.

Albania came into the tournament as one of the lowest-ranked teams, and they've mostly performed to expectation. Versus Italy, they fell 2-1 and lost on xG 1.5-0.5. In a 1-1 draw versus Croatia -- undoubtedly a superb result for Albania -- Albania lost the xG battle 2.6-1.5.

This has the potential to be one of the more lopsided games in the tourney. The saving grace for Albania could be that Spain have already locked up a spot in the Round of 16, meaning Spain may -- emphasis on may -- rest some key players.

Spain vs. Albania Prediction

Opta's model sees Spain as a massive favorite, giving the Spanish win odds of 73.2%.

MasseyRatings also favors Spain by a huge margin, handing Spain 67% win odds.

The Euro 2024 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook fall right in between the models as Spain's -240 moneyline implies win odds of 70.6%.

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