WNBA Picks Today: 3 Best WNBA Bets and Player Props for Wings vs. Valkyries in Game 3

WNBA Best Bets at a Glance

• Under 158.5 (-108)
• Paige Bueckers 20+ Points (+104)
• Kiah Stokes 6+ Rebounds (-166)

The Dallas Wings and Golden State Valkyries meet Friday night for a winner-take-all Game 3 of their first-round WNBA Playoffs series. Dallas forced the deciding matchup with a 108-100 overtime win in Game 2, powered by Arike Ogunbowale's playoff-record 45 points. Now the series shifts back to Chase Center with a spot in the semifinals on the line. Golden State Valkyries

Which bets stand out for tonight's slate?

Let's run through the top options in FanDuel Sportsbook's WNBA odds, leaning on advanced stats from the WNBA to help us find an edge in the market.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All injury news comes via the official WNBA player news wire.

WNBA Best Bets and Predictions Today

Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries

Under 158.5 (-108)

Game 2 turned into a shootout, but Golden State's season-long numbers point toward a much different type of game. The Valkyries finished the regular season with the WNBA's top-ranked defense, allowing only 75.1 points per game. That defense was also on display in Game 1, when Golden State held Dallas to 80 points in a 104-80 win.

Dallas shot 50% from the field and 52.2% from three in Game 2, while Ogunbowale scored 45 points. Those are difficult numbers to repeat against a Golden State defense that allowed opponents to shoot just 41.4% this season. With the Valkyries returning home for an elimination game, the under is an interesting way to back their defense without laying a heavy moneyline price.

Paige Bueckers 20+ Points (+104)

Bueckers struggled in Game 2, finishing with just 10 points on 3-of-13 shooting, but there's reason to expect more scoring from her in Game 3. She averaged 20.9 points per game during the regular season and has already reached 20 points against Golden State despite the difficult matchup. In an August meeting at Chase Center, Bueckers scored 21 points, and her season-long scoring production puts this 20-point threshold right around her usual output.

After a quiet Game 2 where Ogunbowale carried the Dallas offense, I like Bueckers to take on a larger scoring role with the Wings' season on the line.

Kiah Stokes 6+ Rebounds (-166)

Stokes' biggest impact for Golden State comes around the basket, and Game 3 should give her another opportunity to contribute on the glass. She's an important part of a Valkyries defense that finished first in the WNBA in points allowed, providing the interior presence behind Golden State's perimeter defenders.

With Dallas likely to face more resistance offensively than it did in Game 2, there should be opportunities for Stokes to clean up missed shots inside. Six rebounds gives us a manageable threshold without having to rely on her scoring.

WNBA Betting -- Frequently Asked Questions

What does the point spread mean in WNBA betting?

The point spread is a margin set by oddsmakers to level the playing field between two unevenly matched teams. For example, if the Dallas Wings are listed at -7.5, they need to win by 8 or more points for a bet on them to cash. Conversely, a bet on their opponent at +7.5 wins if that team loses by 7 or fewer points — or wins outright.

What is the moneyline?

The moneyline is a straight-up bet on which team wins the game, with no spread involved. Favorites carry a negative number (e.g., -200, meaning you must risk $200 to win $100), while underdogs carry a positive number (e.g., +170, meaning a $100 bet returns $170 profit).

How does the over/under (game total) work?

Oddsmakers set a projected combined score for the game, and bettors wager on whether the actual total will go over or under that number. For instance, if the total is set at 154.5 points, an over bet wins if both teams combine for 155 or more points. WNBA totals can swing based on pace of play, rest situations, and injuries, so it's worth tracking those factors before placing a total bet.

What are WNBA player props?

Player props are bets tied to an individual player's statistical performance rather than the game's outcome. Common prop bet markets include points scored, assists, rebounds, three-pointers made, and combinations of those stats.

WNBA Profit Boost! Get a 25% Profit Boost Token to use on a 3+ Leg Parlay / Same Game Parlay / Same Game Parlay Plus wager for any WNBA Games taking place on October 2, 2026!

See here for full terms and conditions. Learn about today’s other offers at FanDuel Sportsbook Promos.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.