Soccer

Euro 2024 Netherlands vs. Romania: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Austan Kas
Austan Kas@AustanKas
Euro 2024 Netherlands vs. Romania: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Euro 2024 is rolling along, and we are into the final matches of the Round of 16. FanDuel Sportsbook is offering Euro 2024 odds for each game.

On Tuesday, July 2nd, the Netherlands (7th in the FIFA rankings) face off with Romania (47th).

What should we expect from this matchup?

All Euro 2024 odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

Euro 2024 Netherlands vs. Romania: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Netherlands vs. Romania Odds

  • Netherlands to Win: -240
  • Romania to Win: +700
  • Draw: +250
  • Netherlands to Advance: -650
  • Romania to Advance: +440
  • Over 2.5 Goal Odds: -114
  • Under 2.5 Goal Odds:-108

Netherlands vs. Romania Analysis

Romania were surprise Group E winners, scoring four times and conceding three goals across a trio of group-stage matches against Belgium, Ukraine and Slovakia.

Romania started its campaign with a 3-0 win over Ukraine before a 2-0 loss to Belgium and a 1-1 draw versus Slovakia.

According to the expected goals (xG) from FBRef's model, Romania have amassed 3.2 xG and given up 3.3 xG.

The Netherlands got third in what ended up being a very stout Group D. The Dutch beat Poland (2-1), drew with France (0-0) and lost to Austria (3-2).

The Netherlands were unlucky in the loss to Austria, winning the xG battle 1.7-0.9 despite the 3-2 defeat. But on the flip side, Holland were fortunate to draw with France as they fell 1.4-0.5 on xG. Overall, the Netherlands have scored 3.7 xG and allowed 3.6 xG.

By virtue of being on the easier side of the bracket, the Netherlands have the sixth-shortest odds to win Euro 2024 (+1200).

Netherlands vs. Romania Prediction

Opta's model gives the Netherlands a 62.7% chance to beat Romania.

MasseyRatings has the Netherlands' win odds at 59%.

The Euro 2024 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook list the Dutch at -240 to win. The -240 moneyline implies win odds of 70.6% -- well above what either model has.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.