Euro 2024 Netherlands vs. Austria: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Austan Kas
Austan Kas@AustanKas
Euro 2024 Netherlands vs. Austria: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Euro 2024 is underway, and we are on to the final group-stage matches. FanDuel Sportsbook is offering Euro 2024 odds for each game.

On Tuesday, June 25th, the Netherlands (7th in the FIFA rankings) take on Austria (25th).

What should we expect from this matchup?

All Euro 2024 odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

Euro 2024 Netherlands vs. Austria: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Netherlands vs. Austria Odds

  • Netherlands to Win: +115
  • Austria to Win: +280
  • Draw: +210
  • Over 2.5 Goal Odds: -104
  • Under 2.5 Goal Odds: -116

Netherlands vs. Austria Analysis

The Netherlands have amassed four points through two matches, drawing with tourney favorites France 0-0 last time out after topping Poland 2-1 in their opening group match.

While the results look good, the expected goals (xG) data -- per FBRef's model -- doesn't look as favorable for the Dutch. Through two matches, they've conceded 2.7 xG while scoring just 1.9 xG. They were particularly fortunate in the draw with France as they lost the xG battle 1.4-0.5 in that one.

Austria lost to France 1-0 in its opener but bounced back with a key 2-1 win over Poland in their most recent game.

The defenses for each team have struggled. Austria has permitted at least 1.6 xG in every game while the Netherlands has surrendered at least 1.3 xG in each match.

Netherlands vs. Austria Prediction

Opta's model hands the Netherlands win odds of 43.8% while giving an Austria win (28.2%) and a draw (28.0%) nearly equal chances.

MasseyRatings see things almost exactly the same, projecting the Dutch to win 43% of the time and handing Austria a 29% chance to win.

The Euro 2024 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook favor the Netherlands a little more than those models do, with the +115 moneyline implying win odds of 46.5%.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.