Euro 2024 Croatia vs. Albania: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Euro 2024 is underway and is starting to take shape.

On Wednesday, June 19th, Croatia (10th in the FIFA rankings) take on Albania (66th).

What should we be looking for in this matchup?

All Euro 2024 odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

Euro 2024 Croatia vs. Albania: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Croatia vs. Albania Odds

• Croatia to Win: -220
• Albania to Win: +600
• Draw: +330
• Over 2.5 Goal Odds: +104
• Under 2.5 Goal Odds: -126

Croatia vs. Albania Analysis

Croatia opened Euro 2024 with a 3-0 defeat to Spain to end a four-match win streak but actually bested Spain in expected goals (xG) -- per FBRef'sxG model -- 2.1 to 2.0 in that matchup.

Albania also lost their opener to Italy by a score of 2-1 but also lost in xG 1.5 to 0.5 while allowing 17 shots total (5 on goal).

There's an overall skill gap between the two sides that explains the moneyline favoring Croatia (-220).

Croatia vs. Albania Prediction

Opta projects Croatia to win 62.5% of the time with MasseyRatings giving them a 53% win probability.

They're the better side but might be a little overvalued at -220 based on the models.

With that said, this is a vital game for Croatia, as they're coming off of a loss and will face Italy in the group stage after this match.

The models more point to this match being a draw (+330).

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.