Soccer

Euro 2024 Betting: Who Will Finish the Tourney as Germany's Top Goalscorer?

Nicholas Vazquez
Nicholas Vazquez@nickvaz
Euro 2024 Betting: Who Will Finish the Tourney as Germany's Top Goalscorer?

The 2024 edition of the European Championship will be hosted by Germany. After two consecutive disappointing World Cups and a Round-of-16 exit in the last Euros, Germany will certainly want to bounce back on home soil.

Today, we'll look at who will be their leading scorer in this tournament. The lack of a truly elite goal-scorer has definitely hurt them in the past few major tournaments. If one player can step up and finish his chances better than expected, that could go a long way.

Here are the odds to lead Germany in goals, as listed on FanDuel Sportsbook's Euro 2024 odds:

Euro 2024 Odds

Player
Odds
Kai Havertz+270
Florian Wirtz+600
Jamal Musiala+600
Ilkay Gundogan+600

Kai Havertz (+270)

It doesn't appear like Germany will use a traditional striker in their starting lineup to begin the tournament. Instead, they will likely use Kai Havertz as a false nine. That means he will be in the position of a striker, but his instructions will be to drop back and link up with the midfield rather than looking to get into the penalty area to score.

However, Havertz is still the favorite to lead Germany in goals after ending the club season in good form, scoring nine goals in his last 18 matches for Arsenal.

In his career, Havertz has played many different positions. That's why his goal-scoring record has been up and down from season to season. In 45 games for Germany, he's scored 15 goals, and that includes two goals in three games at the World Cup in 2022.

If Havertz has a game or two where he doesn't score and Germany struggles, they may decide to change formations. A formation change could hurt Havertz's chances to lead the team in goals.

It's difficult to predict how exactly Havertz will perform in this role, so backing him at +270 is a bit steep for me to consider betting this.

Florian Wirtz (+600)

Havertz was once a wonderkid for Bayer Leverkusen, and now Florian Wirtz is Leverkusen's young superstar. He helped Leverkusen win their first ever Bundesliga title this past campaign.

Wirtz is not the most prolific goal-scorer, and he has just one goal in 17 games for Germany. He had his best goal-scoring season for Leverkusen this year but still didn't reach a rate of one goal every two games.

He'll likely play on the left wing in this tournament and cut inside on his right foot to score. Wirtz could be one of the players to benefit most from Havertz dropping deeper than normal for a forward, as Havertz can look to play in Wirtz behind the defense.

Manager Julian Nagelsmann spoke glowingly about Wirtz and seems to like him in this role. It's not that hard to see Wirtz leading Germany in goals.

Jamal Musiala (+600)

Nagelsmann also mentioned Jamal Musiala as a generational talent, and Musiala's skills are utilized in Germany's system.

Musiala was excellent in the 2022 World Cup -- even if he didn't get on the scoresheet. In one match, he completed 13 dribbles, two off the record for the most in a game in World Cup history.

As is the case with pretty much all of the favorites, Musiala doesn't have the best goal-scoring record. He has just two goals in 28 appearances for his country. In club play, he has 43 goals in 163 matches.

That's not to say he's not a good bet at these odds. Germany may start building their attack around him, and that definitely wasn't the case at the World Cup. He might be their most talented player, and I believe he's capable of scoring the most goals for the hosts in this tournament.

Ilkay Gundogan (+600)

Playing in an attacking-midfield role between Wirtz and Musiala, Ilkay Gundogan will certainly be involved in the attack for Germany. Whether that means he can lead them in goals in the tournament is an entirely different story.

Gundogan fits the "not a prolific goal-scorer" archetype more than anyone on this list. He has just one season with double-digit league goals in his career, when he got on a hot run for Manchester City in the 2020-2021 season.

In 76 games for Germany, he has 18 goals. His role will likely be distributing the ball to Wirtz and Musiala instead of scoring himself.

The only case I see for Gundogan leading Germany in goals is because he is their penalty taker. I'd still probably want longer odds than +600, and I'd much rather back Wirtz or Musiala at the same odds.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.