Euro 2024 Betting: Who Will Be Spain's Top Scorer?

Zack Bussiere
Zack Bussiere@ZackBussiere
Euro 2024 Betting: Who Will Be Spain's Top Scorer?

The 2024 European Championship kicks off in Germany next week, and the stage is set for a thrilling tournament.

FanDuel Sportsbook is offering several different ways to bet on the tourney, including who will be the top goal-scorer for certain teams.

Today, we're going to look at Spain, who have the fourth-best odds to win the event, according to the Euro 2024 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

La Roja were drawn into Group B alongside Italy (ninth in FIFA's World Rankings), Croatia (10th), and Albania (66th).

Here are the full odds in the market as well as a breakdown of the current favorites.

Euro 2024 Odds

Spain Team Top Goalscorer
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds
Alvaro Morata+200
Dani Olmo+600
Ferran Torres+850
Nico Williams+1000
Lamine Yamal+1000
Mikel Oyarzabal+1300
View Full Table

Alvaro Morata (+200)

Spain won their group in qualifying with seven wins and one loss. Their high-flying attack was a big reason for their success. They had the third best goals/90 mark in qualifying (2.88) behind only Portugal (3.60) and France (3.38). Alvaro Morata's four goals tied Joselu for the team lead, but Morata played twice as many minutes. On goals/90 (0.78), Morata was well behind Joselu (1.54), Dani Olmo (1.67), and Ferran Torres (1.0).

That said, Morata is projected to be the starting forward for La Roja, and that is crucial in a tournament where minutes will be limited.

That is especially the case for Spain, whose overall goal scoring may be limited by their group. Goals should be hard to come by against Croatia, who allowed the fourth-fewest goals/90 in qualifying. Italy (1.13 goals allowed/90) will likely provide more opportunities; they conceded five goals to England in two qualifying matches. Albania, the weakest team in the group, won their qualifying group thanks to a strong defense that only allowed 0.50 goals/90 -- tied with Croatia.

Morata had a solid season for Atletico Madrid in La Liga and the Champions league, totaling 20 goals in 42 appearances. In the 2022 World Cup, he led La Roja in goals with three and scored their only goals against both Germany and Japan. Coming off an excellent season and with recent success for club and country, Morata is a deserving favorite to lead Spain in goals in this tourney.

Dani Olmo (+600)

Playing primarily at attacking midfielder, Dani Olmo recorded four goals and five assists for RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga this season but missed the final weeks of the campaign with an injury. Olma featured heavily for Spain at the 2022 World Cup, starting on the left wing/forward and playing the full 90 in each of their four games. He tied Morata on xG -- per FBRef -- at 1.4 but was far less productive with his opportunities.

Olmo played in only two qualifying matches this campaign -- against Norway and Georgia -- but scored in both. In Spain's most recent friendly, a 3-3 draw against Brazil, Olmo started at attacking mid and scored. He has now scored in each of his last three starts for La Roja, and if he's healthy, Olmo figures to be an important attacking option this summer.

If Spain's overall goals scored are kept on the lower end by the difficulty of their group, it increases the impact each goal has on this race. Olmo has the talent to capitalize on his opportunities at a higher rate than he did at the World Cup in 2022. If he does so, he can challenge Morata.

Joselu (+650)

Joselu comes into Euro 2024 off an excellent debut season for Real Madrid, one that saw him score 15 goals in 45 appearances across all competitions. He was Spain's most productive player during qualifying with four goals and two assists in seven appearances. Among players with at least 20 minutes played, he was second on Spain in goals/90 (1.52), and his six goal contributions led the team.

That's the good news.

The bad news is Joselu is 34 years old and just made his debut for La Roja in 2023 -- he was not on the World Cup roster in 2022. Playing time is crucial for this market, and it's a major question mark for Joselu.

He made seven appearances in qualifying but five of them were as a substitute. He started just two games -- Spain's 2-0 loss to Scotland and their 3-1 win over Cyprus. Half his goals and both of his assists in qualifying came against lowly Cyprus, a side that lost all eight of their matches in Group A and finished with a -25 goal differential.

That said, Joselu's play for Real Madrid this season consisted of goals in huge matches, including two in the Champions League semifinal against Bayern Munich. He likely enters this summer full of confidence, and if he is given the opportunity, Joselu can capitalize on it.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.