Euro 2024 Betting Picks and Prop Bets for Sunday 6/30/24

Zack Bussiere
Zack Bussiere@ZackBussiere

The 2024 UEFA European Football Championship -- also known as Euro 2024 -- is here, and we're already at the Round of 16.

FanDuel Sportsbook's Euro 2024 odds offer a variety of ways to get in on the action, including betting lines for each match.

Let's take a look at the best bets for Sunday.

All Euro 2024 odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

Euro 2024 Betting Picks

England vs. Slovakia (12 p.m. ET)

Under 2.5 Goals (-138)

England (5th in FIFA's World Rankings) begin their knockout stage campaign with a Round-of-16 clash against Slovakia (45th). The Three Lions are significant favorites to advance to the quarterfinals (-750) and win in regulation (-260), according to the Euro 2024 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

England earned their spot in the Round of 16 by winning Group C. It was, however, an incredibly underwhelming group-stage performance that included a win over Serbia (32nd) and draws against both Denmark (21st) and Slovakia (45th). England recorded fewer than 1.0 xG, per FBRef, in all three matches. Their 0.73 xG/90 ranks third-worst overall after the group stages and worst among remaining teams.

Slovakia finished third in Group E and actually generated more xG (2.4) than England (2.2). They began their campaign with a shocking 1-0 win against Belgium before losing to Ukraine and drawing with Romania. Their 0.73 xG/90 ranks fourth-worst overall and second-worst among remaining teams, behind only England.

While England's lackluster scoring has dominated the headlines, their defense has been a bright spot. They allowed 0.2 xG or fewer in two of three matches, and their 0.38 xG allowed/90 ranks first. Their matches at Euro 2024 average a combined xG total of just 1.13.

Slovakia has struggled to score all tournament, and now they have to face an elite England defense. They are listed at -160 to score no goals. Assuming England keep another clean sheet, the under on 2.5 goals will come down to the Three Lions' offense.

As has been the case all tournament, the talent is there for England to score multiple goals against a significantly less talented side. Gareth Southgate's changes in the second half against Slovenia had a positive impact, but it remains to be seen if he will carry over those changes into the starting 11 on Sunday.

Spain vs. Georgia (3 p.m. ET)

Spain -1.5 Goals (-140)

In what is expected to be the most one-sided clash of the Round of 16, Spain are massive favorites to both advance (-2000) and win in regulation (-550) against Georgia.

Spain won Group B, the Group of Death, with wins over Italy (10th), Croatia (9th), and Albania (66th). They actually lost to Croatia on xG (2.0-2.1) but dominated Italy (2.0-0.2) and Albania (1.5-0.5). Overall, they rank fourth in xG/90 (1.83) and eighth in xG allowed/90 (0.91). They have yet to allow a goal this tournament.

Georgia is coming off one of the most shocking upsets in Euro's history -- their 2-0 win over Portugal. They lost the match on xG 2.0-1.6, and Portugal, having already won the group, rested some usual starters -- but it was still an extremely impressive result for the 74th-ranked nation in FIFA's World Rankings.

Despite their underdog status, Georgia has tried to play on the front foot throughout the tournament. They generated at least 1.1 xG in all three of their matches and averaged 1.28 xG/90, 11th-best. Unfortunately, their defending has been a massive weak spot, their 2.63 xG allowed/90 ranks last by a wide margin.

Georgia may opt for a more conservative game plan in this one, but even if they do, they will have a difficult time holding off Spain. Regardless of how Georgia set up, I expect Spain to win comfortably and like backing them to win by at least 2 goals.

Prop Bets

Lamine Yamal to Score or Assist (-120): Yamal was rested in Spain's final group-stage match, playing 18 minutes off the bench after starting the first two fixtures. He had a better game against Croatia (an assist, three shots, and three chances created) than against Italy (one shot and one chance created), but Georgia's poor defense sets him up for another positive performance on Sunday.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.