Duke vs Virginia Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - March 2

Data Skrive
Data Skrive
Duke vs Virginia Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - March 2

The Duke Blue Devils (22-6, 13-4 ACC) will look to extend a five-game home win streak when they take on the Virginia Cavaliers (21-8, 12-6 ACC) on March 2, 2024 at Cameron Indoor Stadium.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Duke vs. Virginia Game Info and Odds

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 2, 2024
  • Game Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Durham, North Carolina
  • Arena: Cameron Indoor Stadium

Duke vs. Virginia Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Duke win (84.3%)

Check out the betting insights and trends below before making a wager on Saturday's Duke-Virginia spread (Duke -9.5) or over/under (124.5 points).

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Duke vs. Virginia: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • Duke has compiled a 16-12-0 ATS record so far this year.
  • Virginia is 16-13-0 ATS this year.
  • Against the spread, the Blue Devils have played better when playing at home, covering 10 times in 16 home games, and four times in 10 road games.
  • The Cavaliers have been better against the spread at home (10-6-0) than away (5-5-0) this year.
  • Duke's record against the spread in conference games is 9-8-0.
  • Against the spread in ACC games, Virginia is 10-8-0 this season.

Duke vs. Virginia: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • Duke has been the moneyline favorite in 23 games this season and has come away with the win 19 times (82.6%) in those contests.
  • This season, the Blue Devils have come away with a win 12 times in 14 chances when named as a favorite of at least -490 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Virginia has a 2-6 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 25% of those games).
  • The Cavaliers have played as a moneyline underdog of +365 or longer in just one game this season, which they won.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Duke has a 83.1% chance of pulling out a win.

Duke vs. Virginia Head-to-Head Comparison

  • Duke outscores opponents by 13.1 points per game (scoring 80.5 per game to rank 38th in college basketball while allowing 67.4 per contest to rank 60th in college basketball) and has a +367 scoring differential overall.
  • Kyle Filipowski ranks 146th in college basketball with a team-high 16.6 points per game.
  • Virginia is outscoring opponents by five points per game, with a +144 scoring differential overall. It puts up 63.7 points per game (353rd in college basketball) and allows 58.7 per contest (third in college basketball).
  • Reece Beekman's team-leading 13.9 points per game rank him 406th in college basketball.
  • The 36.4 rebounds per game the Blue Devils average rank 121st in the nation, and are 5.1 more than the 31.3 their opponents pull down per contest.
  • Filipowski tops the team with 8.2 rebounds per game (78th in college basketball play).
  • The Cavaliers lose the rebound battle by an average of 1.4 boards. They are collecting 32.7 rebounds per game (321st in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 34.1.
  • Ryan Dunn tops the Cavaliers with 7.1 rebounds per game (161st in college basketball).
  • Duke ranks eighth in college basketball by averaging 106.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 78th in college basketball, allowing 89.1 points per 100 possessions.
  • The Cavaliers score 92.3 points per 100 possessions (245th in college basketball), while conceding 85.1 points per 100 possessions (15th in college basketball).

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