Horse Racing

Dornoch: Kentucky Derby Horse Odds, History and Prediction

FanDuel Staff
FanDuel Staff
Dornoch: Kentucky Derby Horse Odds, History and Prediction

The 150th Kentucky Derby is nearly here, and the field of 20 three-year-old horses is set.

Dornoch ended Kentucky Derby qualifying with 100 points, and now with the Road to the Kentucky Derby drawing ever closer to the 150th running, the Danny Gargan-trained horse looks to make history.

Dornoch Kentucky Derby Odds and Post Position

Dornoch's Kentucky Derby morning line odds are 20-1 (+2000), tied for sixth-best in the field.

Dornoch drew post position 1.

ML Odds
1DornochDanny GarganLuis Saez20-1
2Sierra LeoneChad BrownTyler Gaffalione3-1
3Mystik DanKenny McPeekBrian Hernandez20-1
4Catching FreedomBrad CoxFlavien Prat8-1
5CatalyticSaffie Joseph, Jr.Jose Ortiz30-1
6Just SteelD. Wayne LukasKeith Asmussen20-1
7Honor MarieWhit BeckmanBen Curtis20-1
View Full Table

Dornoch Horse Trainer and Jockey

Danny Gargan horses have 431 wins in 2,019 career starts, and Society Man is also in the Kentucky Derby field under Gargan.

Jockey Luiz Saez has ranked top-five in wins in five straight years, via Equibase.

Saez rode Secret Oath to a 2022 Kentucky Oaks victory and Essential Quality to a Belmont Stakes win in 2021.

Dornoch Race History

Dornoch has posted Speed Scores (via Equibase) of 98 or higher in four straight races.

The Fountain of Youth (G2) win at Gulfstream Park in early March secured 50 qualifying points.

Speed Score
4/6/2024KeenelandToyota Blue Grass Stakes (Gr. 1)498
3/2/2024Gulfstream ParkCoolmore Fountain of Youth Stakes (Gr. 2)1102
12/2/2023AqueductRemsen Stakes (Gr. 2)199
10/14/2023KeenelandMaiden Special Weight199
8/26/2023Monmouth ParkSapling Stakes (Listed)285
7/29/2023SaratogaMaiden Special Weight283

Dornoch Kentucky Derby Prediction and Pick

Dornoch, full brother of last year's Derby winner (Mage), has the third-most wins (3) of horses in the field, and his 94.3 Speed Score average is sixth in the field among 18 with Speed Score data.

The last winner from post 1 was Ferdinand (1986), and a 19.1% in-the-money rate from post 1 is 11th-highest of 20 positions since 1930.

Watch FanDuel TV's Christina Blacker analyze Dornoch below:

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