Soccer

Copa America 2024 Venezuela vs. Mexico Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Brandon Gdula
Brandon Gdula@gdula13
Copa America 2024 Venezuela vs. Mexico Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Copa America 2024 rolls on with a full week of matches.

Wednesday, June 26th features two matches on FS1. The later match is between Venezuela (54th in the FIFA rankings) and Mexico (15th). Start time is 9:00 p.m. Eastern.

What should we expect from this matchup?

All Copa America 2024 odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

Copa America 2024 Venezuela vs. Mexico: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Venezuela vs. Mexico Odds

  • Venezuela to Win: +270
  • Mexico to Win: +120
  • Draw: +210
  • Over 2.5 Goal Odds: +132
  • Under 2.5 Goal Odds: -162

Venezuela vs. Mexico Analysis

Venezuela was able to best Ecuador, who played with 10 men for most of their opening match. It took two second-half goals -- Jhonder Cádiz (64') and Eduard Bello (74') -- to take a 2-1 lead.

La Vinotinto maintained possession (65.9%) and racked up 14 shot attempts (5 on goal) in their eventual win.

By FBRef's expected goal model, Venezuela won 1.6-0.9; MarkStats' model largely agreed (1.51-0.84).

Mexico did earn full points in their opening match against Jamaica despite losing captain Edson Álvarez to a leg injury in the 30th minute.

Gerardo Arteaga (69') broke the seal to put Mexico ahead.

Venezuela vs. Mexico Goal Scorer Odds

Here are the top anytime goalscorer odds, via FanDuel Sportsbook, for this matchup.

Anytime Goalscorer
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds
Santiago Gimenez+190
Julian Quinones+230
Guillermo Martinez+250
Salomon Rondon+270
Uriel Antuna+290
Jhonder Cadiz+310
Eric Ramirez+330
View Full Table

Venezuela vs. Mexico Prediction

MasseyRatings ranks Mexico 24th overall in their power ratings with Venezuela 21st, a big deviation from the FIFA rankings (15th and 54th, respectively).

Their game-level model sees Venezuela as 41% likely to win.

Opta's model still views Mexico as the stronger side (50.9% likely to win).


Looking for more soccer betting opportunities? Head over to FanDuel Sportsbook to check out all of the soccer odds.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.