Copa America 2024 Mexico vs. Ecuador Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Brandon Gdula
Brandon Gdula@gdula13
Copa America 2024 Mexico vs. Ecuador Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Copa America 2024 rolls on with a full week of matches.

Sunday, June 30th features two matches to conclude Group B's action.

At 8:00 p.m. Eastern on FOX, Mexico faces Ecuador.

What should we expect from this matchup?

All Copa America 2024 odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

Copa America 2024 Mexico vs. Ecuador: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Mexico vs. Ecuador Odds

  • Mexico to Win: +175
  • Ecuador to Win: +160
  • Draw: +220
  • Over 2.5 Goal Odds: +146
  • Under 2.5 Goal Odds: -178

Mexico vs. Ecuador Analysis

Mexico has three points through two matches (1W-1L-0D). The same is true for Ecuador.

Ecuador holds a +1 goal differential (4 goals for and 3 against); Mexico is even by goal difference (1 for and 1 against).

In terms of expected goals (xG), Mexico looks better (+1.7 differential with 3.4 xG for and 1.7 xG allowed) than Ecuador (+0.8 differential with 3.2 xG for and 2.4 xG allowed).

They average similar shot volume both for (19.0 shots per match for Mexico and 16.0 for Ecuador) and against (11.5 shots allowed for Mexico and 10.5 for Ecuador).

Mexico vs. Ecuador Goal Scorer Odds

Here are the top anytime goalscorer odds, via FanDuel Sportsbook, for this matchup.

Anytime Goalscorer
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds
Enner Valencia+170
Jordy Caicedo+180
Santiago Gimenez+270
Guillermo Martinez+300
Kevin Rodriguez+310
Julian Quinones+330
Uriel Antuna+360
View Full Table

Mexico vs. Ecuador Prediction

Opta's algorithm likes Mexico to break through (46.1% win probability) with a 28.7% likelihood that Ecuador wins. That leaves a 25.1% chance for a draw.

MasseyRatings' model actually prefers Ecuador (43%) over Mexico (27%), so it's not a surprise that the betting odds are quite close here.

Looking for more soccer betting opportunities? Head over to FanDuel Sportsbook to check out all of the soccer odds.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.