Commanders vs. Giants Prediction: 3 Best NFL Player Prop Bets, Picks for TNF (Nov. 12)

Commanders vs. Giants Best Bets at a Glance

• Under 42.5 (-104)
• Antonio Williams 40+ Receiving Yards (-130)
• Isaiah Likely 50+ Receiving Yards (-108)

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The New York Giants and Washington Commanders kick off NFL Week 10 with an NFC East clash at MetLife Stadium on Thursday, November 12, at 8:15 p.m. ET.

New York enters at 5-2-1 while Washington sits at 2-5-1. The Giants have been the better team this season, but both offenses have shown enough inconsistency to make this an intriguing betting matchup.

Using the NFL odds at FanDuel Sportsbook as a guide, let's break down three bets for Thursday Night Football, including the game total and two receiving props.

All NFL projections via our numbers at FanDuel Research, and NFL odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published. Check out all of our NFL picks.

Giants vs Commanders NFL Picks, Prop Bets (Thursday)

Under 42.5 (-104)

There's a lot to like about the under in this NFC East clash, particularly given how uneven both offenses have been.

Through Week 8, the Giants ranked 15th in the NFL in expected points added (EPA) per play at 0.013, while the Commanders were 17th at -0.009, putting both teams near the league average in offensive efficiency. Washington has been held to 17 or fewer points in three of its last four games, including a 20-13 loss to Los Angeles in its latest outing, while New York is coming off a 19-11 win over Philadelphia.

The Giants have also been without starting quarterback Jaxson Dart, leaving J.J. McCarthy to operate the offense.

With New York potentially leaning on its ground game and Washington struggling to consistently sustain drives when it has the ball, this matchup has the ingredients for a relatively low-scoring affair.

Antonio Williams 40+ Receiving Yards (-130)

Antonio Williams has emerged as a meaningful contributor to Washington's passing attack, particularly with Terry McLaurin sidelined.

The rookie has recorded 26 receptions for 284 yards on 39 targets this season, and his playing time has increased considerably as the year has progressed. Williams played 83% of the offensive snaps against Philadelphia and 84% against the Rams, drawing 13 combined targets across those two games.

He turned seven targets into five catches for 54 yards against Philadelphia and also produced 50 receiving yards against San Francisco. Although Williams managed only 25 yards in his latest outing, the consistent snap participation and growing target opportunity make him an interesting option against the Giants.

He'll need slightly better production than his season average of 35.5 receiving yards per game, but his recent involvement makes 40-plus yards a reasonable target.

Isaiah Likely 50+ Receiving Yards (-108)

Isaiah Likely has become an vital piece of the Giants' passing offense, and Thursday's rematch with Washington presents an appealing opportunity.

Through eight games, Likely has recorded 46 receptions for 448 yards and six touchdowns on 69 targets, giving him averages of 5.8 catches, 56.0 yards and 8.6 targets per game. Those numbers are encouraging for a tight end, and he's already demonstrated his ability to exploit this matchup.

In the first meeting with Washington, Likely caught 11 of 13 targets for 94 yards and two touchdowns in one of his most productive performances of the season. He also surpassed 50 receiving yards against Arizona, New Orleans and Philadelphia, including a five-catch, 53-yard performance in his most recent outing.

With Likely commanding consistent passing-game opportunities and having already enjoyed significant success against the Washington defense, I am backing him to reach 50-plus yards again.

NFL Betting Frequently Asked Questions

What is an NFL point spread?

A point spread is designed to level the playing field between two teams. Favorites must win by more than the spread, while underdogs can either win outright or lose by fewer points than the spread.

What is an NFL moneyline bet?

A moneyline bet is simply picking which team will win the game. Favorites have negative odds, while underdogs have positive odds.

What are NFL player props?

Player prop bets focus on an individual player's performance, such as passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, touchdowns, or receptions, rather than the outcome of the game.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.