Cody Brown’s NFL Week 6 Mismatch Algorithm Top Player Prop Bets for Sunday

Cody Brown's NFL Week 6 Mismatch Algorithm Player Props

• Nico Collins 50+ Receiving Yards — 92.3%
• Ashton Jeanty 3+ Receptions — 89.5%
• Cam Skattebo 40+ Rushing Yards — 89.1%
• Kirk Cousins 200+ Passing Yards — 88.6%
• Denzel Boston 40+ Receiving Yards — 87.2%
• C.J. Stroud 225+ Passing Yards — 86.4%
• Parker Washington 40+ Receiving Yards — 85.7%
• Rome Odunze 25+ Receiving Yards — 84.4%
• Jacoby Brissett 5+ Rushing Yards — 83.9%
• James Cook 70+ Rushing Yards — 82.9%
• Isaiah Likely 5+ Receptions — 82.9%
• Jaylen Warren 3+ Receptions — 82.7%
• Rachaad White 2+ Receptions — 81.8%
• Brock Purdy 200+ Passing Yards — 80.4%
• Josh Allen 200+ Passing Yards — 80.0%
• Juwan Johnson 4+ Receptions — 79.1%
• Derrick Henry 70+ Rushing Yards — 78.6%
• Cam Ward 175+ Passing Yards — 78.3%
• Josh Downs 30+ Receiving Yards — 77.7%
• Bryce Young 200+ Passing Yards — 76.5%

Cody Brown is back with his NFL Week 6 Mismatch Algorithm — a ranked breakdown of the player props his model gives the highest hit probability, which has gone a real 30-6 so far this season. Nico Collins tops the list at a genuinely elite 92.3%.

All NFL odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook's NFL betting odds and may change after this article is published.

Cody Brown's Week 6 Mismatch Algorithm Props

1. Nico Collins — 50+ Receiving Yards (92.3%)

The single highest hit rate on the entire sheet — a real reflection of the target volume Collins commands as Houston's clear top receiving option.

2. Ashton Jeanty — 3+ Receptions (89.5%)

A genuinely low bar for a back who's taken on a real, featured role in Las Vegas's offense out of the backfield.

3. Cam Skattebo — 40+ Rushing Yards (89.1%)

Skattebo's real workload in New York's backfield makes this a repeatable floor rather than a stretch.

4. Kirk Cousins — 200+ Passing Yards (88.6%)

A real, modest floor given the volume Cousins has seen as Las Vegas's starter this season.

5. Denzel Boston — 40+ Receiving Yards (87.2%)

A real, consistent number reflecting Boston's growing role in his offense's passing attack.

6. C.J. Stroud — 225+ Passing Yards (86.4%)

Stroud's real, genuine arm talent and Houston's passing volume make this a reliable number most weeks.

7. Parker Washington — 40+ Receiving Yards (85.7%)

Washington has quietly become a real, trusted target in Jacksonville's passing game.

8. Rome Odunze — 25+ Receiving Yards (84.4%)

A low bar for a receiver who's emerged as a real, legitimate weapon in Chicago's offense.

9. Jacoby Brissett — 5+ Rushing Yards (83.9%)

A genuinely minimal number given how often mobile quarterbacks scramble for positive yardage in any given game.

10. James Cook — 70+ Rushing Yards (82.9%)

Cook's real role as Buffalo's clear lead back keeps this number consistently in range on a weekly basis.

11. Isaiah Likely — 5+ Receptions (82.9%)

A real, genuine role as a trusted target in Baltimore's passing attack makes this a repeatable number most weeks.

12. Jaylen Warren — 3+ Receptions (82.7%)

A low bar for a back who's carved out real, consistent work as a pass-catching option out of the backfield.

13. Rachaad White — 2+ Receptions (81.8%)

A genuinely minimal number given White's real role as a check-down option in Tampa Bay's offense.

14. Brock Purdy — 200+ Passing Yards (80.4%)

A real, modest floor for Purdy given the weapons around him in San Francisco's offense.

15. Josh Allen — 200+ Passing Yards (80.0%)

A real, genuine floor given the real, consistent production Allen has shown as a passer this season.

16. Juwan Johnson — 4+ Receptions (79.1%)

Johnson's real role as a reliable target in New Orleans's passing game supports this number on a consistent basis.

17. Derrick Henry — 70+ Rushing Yards (78.6%)

A real, modest floor for a workhorse back who remains a focal point of Baltimore's offense.

18. Cam Ward — 175+ Passing Yards (78.3%)

A real, modest number as Ward continues to settle into his starting role in Tennessee.

19. Josh Downs — 30+ Receiving Yards (77.7%)

A low bar for a receiver who remains a real, trusted target in Indianapolis's passing game.

20. Bryce Young — 200+ Passing Yards (76.5%)

Young rounds out the sheet with a real, genuine floor given the volume he's seeing as Carolina's starter.

Cody's Top Takeaways

Nico Collins's 92.3% hit rate on 50+ receiving yards headlines the sheet — a real reflection of the target volume he's commanded as Houston's clear top receiving option this season. The model's overall track record stands out too: a real 30-6 record so far this season across its top picks.

Running backs carry real weight on this list as receiving options — Ashton Jeanty, Cam Skattebo, Jaylen Warren, and Rachaad White all land inside the top 13, a sign the model likes pass-catching production out of the backfield across multiple matchups this week.