Horse Racing

Catching Freedom: Kentucky Derby Horse Odds, History and Prediction

FanDuel Staff
FanDuel Staff
Catching Freedom: Kentucky Derby Horse Odds, History and Prediction

The 150th Kentucky Derby is nearly here, and the field of 20 three-year-old horses is set.

Catching Freedom racked up 125 qualifying points on the Road to the Kentucky Derby.

Catching Freedom Kentucky Derby Odds and Post Position

Catching Freedom's Kentucky Derby morning line odds are 8-1 (+800), third-best in the field.

Catching Freedom drew post position 4.

ML Odds
1DornochDanny GarganLuis Saez20-1
2Sierra LeoneChad BrownTyler Gaffalione3-1
3Mystik DanKenny McPeekBrian Hernandez20-1
4Catching FreedomBrad CoxFlavien Prat8-1
5CatalyticSaffie Joseph, Jr.Jose Ortiz30-1
6Just SteelD. Wayne LukasKeith Asmussen20-1
7Honor MarieWhit BeckmanBen Curtis20-1
View Full Table

Catching Freedom Horse Trainer and Jockey

Trainer Brad Cox is only years removed from a great 2021 Triple Crown. Mandaloun won the Kentucky Derby (after a DQ), and Essential Quality won the Belmont Stakes.

Cox also has Just A Touch (10-1) in the field.

Flavien Prat rode Catching Freedom to a Louisiana Derby win in late March. Prat also has wins at the Kentucky Derby in 2019 (Country House; after a DQ) and the Preakness Stakes in 2021 (Rombauer).

Catching Freedom Race History

Catching Freedom has three wins in five starts and has posted three straight Speed Scores (via Equibase) of 96 or higher but has not yet hit 100.

Speed Score
3/23/2024Fair Louisiana Derby (Gr. 2)198
2/17/2024Fair GroundsRisen Star Stakes (Gr. 2)396
1/1/2024Oaklawn ParkSmarty Jones Stakes (Listed)197
11/9/2023Churchill DownsAllowance Optional Claiming488
10/1/2023Churchill DownsMaiden Special Weight185

Catching Freedom Kentucky Derby Prediction and Pick

Catching Freedom has elite connections but slightly concerning Speed Scores relative to the other favorites. However, he has an average Speed Score of 97.0 in his last three starts.

Post 4 has not been the most fruitful starting position. Post 4 has resulted in five Derby winners (5.3%), the 12th-highest frequency.

Still, an 8-1 morning line means Catching Freedom has what it takes to net the win.

Watch FanDuel TV's Christina Blacker analyze Catching Freedom below:

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