Bucks vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 21

Bucks vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Wednesday, January 21, 2026
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Fiserv Forum -- Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• Coverage: ESPN, FDSWI, and FDSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder (36-8) are favored by 9.5 points against the Milwaukee Bucks (18-24) on Wednesday, January 21, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on ESPN, FDSWI, and FDSOK. The over/under for the matchup is set at 227.5.

Bucks vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Bucks vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (72.7%)

Bucks vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder have covered the spread in a matchup 22 times this season (22-22-0).
• Against the spread, the Bucks are 19-23-0 this year.
• Thunder games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 23 times out of 42 chances this season.
• Bucks games this season have hit the over on 16 of 42 set point totals (38.1%).
• When playing at home, Oklahoma City owns a better record against the spread (12-11-0) compared to its ATS record on the road (10-11-0).
• The Thunder have gone over the total in 12 of 23 home games (52.2%). They've done better in away games, eclipsing the total in 11 of 21 matchups (52.4%).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, Milwaukee has a lower winning percentage at home (.421, 8-11-0 record) than away (.478, 11-12-0).
• Bucks games have gone above the over/under 47.4% of the time at home (nine of 19), and 30.4% of the time on the road (seven of 23).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 31.8 points, 4.3 boards and 6.2 assists.
• Chet Holmgren is averaging 18 points, 8.5 boards and 1.6 assists. Defensively, he averages 0.6 steals and 2 blocked shots (third in league).
• Ajay Mitchell averages 14 points, 3.5 boards and 3.7 assists, shooting 48.2% from the floor and 34.1% from downtown, with 1.1 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Cason Wallace's numbers on the season are 7.3 points, 3.1 boards and 2.1 assists per contest, shooting 41.4% from the field and 35.7% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.3 made 3-pointers.
• Aaron Wiggins is averaging 10.4 points, 1.7 assists and 3.4 rebounds.

Bucks Leaders

• Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 28.5 points, 9.8 rebounds and 5.5 assists for the Bucks.
• The Bucks receive 16.2 points per game from Ryan Rollins, plus 4.5 boards and 5.5 assists.
• Myles Turner averages 12.2 points, 5.3 rebounds and 1.6 assists. He is making 42.1% of his shots from the field and 39% from beyond the arc, with 2.2 treys per game.
• The Bucks are getting 13.1 points, 6.4 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game from Bobby Portis.
• The Bucks are receiving 12.6 points, 4.5 boards and 2.2 assists per game from Kyle Kuzma.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

Watch FanDuel TV's NBA show "Run It Back" with Lou Williams, Michelle Beadle, DeMarcus "Boogie" Cousins and Chandler Parsons weekdays at 10am ET on FanDuel TV, the Run It Back YouTube page, or download the podcast here: fanduel.com/research/tv-and-podcast.