Horse Racing

Belmont Stakes Betting: Exacta and Trifecta Picks for Today's Belmont Stakes

FanDuel Staff
FanDuel Staff
Belmont Stakes Betting: Exacta and Trifecta Picks for Today's Belmont Stakes

The 2024 Belmont Stakes are happening today — June 8th, 2024!

This year's race comes with a few key changes.

Instead of the race covering one full lap around the 1 ½-mile dirt track at Belmont Park, the race will cover 1 ¼ miles on the dirt at Saratoga. The change in race distance is due to the track configuration at the Spa: trying to go 1 ½ miles would require the starting gate to be placed on the far turn instead of giving all of the horses a clean, straight-line start.

The race drew an exciting and competitive field of 10, including Kentucky Derby winner Mystik Dan, Preakness Stakes winner Seize the Grey, and Blue Grass Stakes winner Sierra Leone. The entire horse racing world will be watching and wagering, and this is where to find out how to make smart exotic bets on the race.

Naturally, you can bet on which horse will win the Belmont Stakes with FanDuel Racing. Discover the exciting 2024 Belmont Stakes odds to wager on FDR and FanDuel Sportsbook and get up to $20 back on your Bet!

New FanDuel Racing users are included in the excitement with a chance to get your first win wager on a single horse in any race at any track up to $500 back if you lose. Bet the Belmont Stakes!

2024 Belmont Stakes Field

Let's look at the Belmont Stakes field. The race drew a field of 10, an exciting mix of Kentucky Derby horses, Preakness runners, and new faces on the Triple Crown scene.

This is the official field for the 2024 Belmont Stakes, including post positions, trainers, jockeys, and morning-line odds for each horse:

Post
Horse
Trainer
Jockey
Odds
1Seize the GreyD. Wayne LukasJaime Torres8-1
2ResilienceBill MottJunior Alvarado10-1
3Mystik DanKenny McPeekBrian Hernandez, Jr.5-1
4The Wine StewardMike MakerManny Franco15-1
5AntiquarianTodd PletcherJohn Velazquez12-1
6DornochDanny GarganLuis Saez15-1
7ProtectiveTodd PletcherTyler Gaffalione20-1
View Full Table

Remember that the morning line is not a guarantee of betting odds on race day, but rather an educated estimate of what the tote board will look like come post time. Make sure to follow FanDuel and FanDuel TV for up-to-the-minute news on each contender, as well as odds updates once betting opens. That will help you find the overlays and make the smartest possible wagers.

Belmont Stakes 2024 Contenders

These are the horses to put in focus for your 2024 exotic wagers on the Belmont Stakes.

Exacta and Trifecta Key

The two horses to consider as possible keys in the Belmont Stakes are Mystik Dan and Sierra Leone. There are defensible arguments for choosing either as a key.

Sierra Leone, the favorite, has been more consistent during his career: he is the most likely winner of the race and the most likely board hitter. He has shown the ability to stay the trip, and to make a strong, sustained rally whether the pace is modest or fast in front of him.

The drawback is the price: just as he will be a short price in the win pool, the exacta, trifecta, and superfecta combinations with him will be shorter-priced. Knowing that, a ticket keying Sierra Leone will have to be more finely targeted. If you lean on Sierra Leone, consider keying him in one spot—either only first or only second—and playing a few around him.

In a race where there is some argument to make for virtually any horse to hit the board, though, using a horse at a bit more of a price will allow you to justify a bit more coverage, since keying a live horse other than Sierra Leone leaves you open for a windfall if your key runs well and Sierra Leone happens to run out of the money.

In this case, Mystik Dan is that horse. He is in strong form right now, he is proven at the distance, and he should be able to get a sweet inside trip just as he has in his best races. If the rain in the forecast happens, that’s no problem: Mystik Dan is well-proven on wet tracks, and there is more pace in this race than there was when he had to chase Seize the Grey around in the Preakness.

More Belmont Stakes 2024 Exacta and Trifecta Contenders

Even though there was early speculation that Bill Mott would step Batten Down up in class for the Belmont Stakes, Mott instead entered a horse with stakes experience in the race: Resilience. That looks like the right call. Resilience got a less-than-optimal trip in the Kentucky Derby: he was mired in the 18 gate, he was not as close to the pace early as he likes to be, he made an early move, and flattened out. However, he should make better account in the Belmont. The smaller field means less space for chaos. The relatively inside gate should be fine: after all, he was able to win with a stalking trip despite drawing the rail in a 12-horse Wood Memorial (G2). He should be able to get a good trip just behind the real speed of the race, and if he can run back to that Wood performance he has a serious chance at a square price.

Honor Marie came into the Kentucky Derby in strong form, but a rough beginning and a too-early move led to an off-the-board finish. However, there are several reasons he can redeem himself in the Belmont Stakes. The smaller field gives him a chance at a cleaner trip, meaning he can get a fairer opportunity to put his strong stamina pedigree to the test. Barring a massive speed bias, he should have pace to chase: Dornoch has to go, The Wine Steward and Seize the Grey won’t be far away, and Mindframe will likely be forward, too. Furthermore, he gets a rider change to proven big-race jockey Florent Geroux for the Belmont Stakes.

Protective, a maiden and the likely longest shot on the board, intrigues for the trifecta. Even though he has yet to win a race, he has stakes experience already: he rallied for third behind Resilience in the Wood Memorial and then also ran third in the Peter Pan (G3) behind stablemate Antiquarian. He did so using two different running styles as well: Protective was close to the pace throughout in the Peter Pan, but overcame early trouble and ran on late in the Wood. He also debuted well at Saratoga, rallying for a close second despite the six-furlong distance being too short. Add to this a nice distance pedigree and Todd Pletcher’s Belmont Stakes acumen, and you get a good exotics longshot.

Belmont Stakes Bet-Against

As exciting as Mindframe is as a prospect, he is worth betting against in the Belmont Stakes unless he drifts up significantly from his morning-line price. And, judging from action in futures books in the days after the draw, he is unlikely to drift to a playable price: in fact, he has been a red-hot second favorite behind the more experienced and class-proven Sierra Leone.

Of course, Mindframe has upside. He is trained by four-time Belmont-winning trainer Todd Pletcher. He has won both of his starts by gaping margins in fast fashion. However, one of those outings came in a maiden special weight on Florida Derby day at Gulfstream Park, and the other came in an allowance race on the Kentucky Derby undercard at Churchill Downs. He can win either on the front end or in stalking fashion, and the outside post may help him work a clean trip.

However, he has only two starts, with none coming in stakes company. He has never stretched out past 1 1/16 miles—it’s a big jump from that to a mile and a quarter, even with the solid distance pedigree he has. In a Belmont as competitive as this one, you have to draw a line somewhere, and the smart move is to watch Mindframe this time and keep him in your pocket for other big races later this year if he passes the class test.

2024 Belmont Stakes Exotic Bets

Here are our recommended exacta and trifecta bets for the 2024 Belmont Stakes:

  • Belmont Stakes exacta bet: Key box #3 Mystik Dan with #2 Resilience, #8 Honor Marie, #9 Sierra Leone
  • Belmont Stakes trifecta bet: Key Box #3 Mystik Dan with #2 Resilience, #7 Protective, #8 Honor Marie, #9 Sierra Leone

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