Baylor vs Texas Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - March 4

Data Skrive
Data Skrive
Baylor vs Texas Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - March 4

Big 12 action on Monday will see the the No. 11 Baylor Bears (21-8, 10-6 Big 12) host the Texas Longhorns (19-10, 8-8 Big 12) at Foster Pavilion, starting at 9:00 PM ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Baylor vs. Texas Game Info and Odds

  • Game Day: Monday, March 4, 2024
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Waco, Texas
  • Arena: Foster Pavilion

Baylor vs. Texas Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Baylor win (75.4%)

Baylor is a 7.5-point favorite over Texas on Monday and the total is set at 146.5 points. Here are a few betting insights and trends if you are planning on making a wager on the outing.

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Baylor vs. Texas: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • Baylor is 16-12-0 ATS this season.
  • Texas has won 12 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 17 times.
  • Baylor covers the spread when it is a 7.5-point favorite or more 77.8% of the time. That's more often than Texas covers as an underdog of 7.5 or more (never covered this season).
  • The Bears have done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (10-5-0) than they have in road tilts (4-4-0).
  • The Longhorns have performed better against the spread away (4-5-0) than at home (7-10-0) this season.
  • Against the spread, in conference play, Baylor is 8-8-0 this season.
  • Texas has covered the spread eight times in 16 Big 12 games.

Baylor vs. Texas: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • Baylor has been victorious in 15, or 88.2%, of the 17 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
  • The Bears have yet to lose in six games when named as moneyline favorite of -315 or better.
  • Texas has compiled a 4-6 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 40% of those games).
  • When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +250 or longer, the Longhorns have a record of 2-2 (50%).
  • Baylor has an implied victory probability of 75.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Baylor vs. Texas Head-to-Head Comparison

  • Baylor has a +312 scoring differential, topping opponents by 10.7 points per game. It is putting up 81.6 points per game to rank 23rd in college basketball and is giving up 70.9 per contest to rank 142nd in college basketball.
  • Ja'Kobe Walter's team-leading 14.7 points per game ranks 317th in the nation.
  • Texas is outscoring opponents by 7.3 points per game, with a +211 scoring differential overall. It puts up 75.7 points per game (122nd in college basketball) and allows 68.4 per contest (82nd in college basketball).
  • Max Abmas is ranked 156th in college basketball with a team-high 16.5 points per game.
  • The 35.1 rebounds per game the Bears average rank 192nd in college basketball, and are 5.8 more than the 29.3 their opponents grab per outing.
  • Yves Missi tops the Bears with 5.6 rebounds per game (438th in college basketball play).
  • The Longhorns win the rebound battle by 1.9 boards on average. They collect 35.4 rebounds per game, 174th in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 33.5.
  • Dillon Mitchell leads the team with 8.2 rebounds per game (78th in college basketball).
  • Baylor averages 106.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (ninth in college basketball), and gives up 92.4 points per 100 possessions (165th in college basketball).
  • The Longhorns rank 106th in college basketball with 98.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 71st defensively with 88.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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