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Arizona vs Dayton Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - NCAA Tournament Second Round

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

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Arizona vs Dayton Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - NCAA Tournament Second Round

The No. 2 seed Arizona Wildcats (26-8) take on the No. 7 seed Dayton Flyers (25-7) with a Sweet 16 spot in the West Region of the bracket up for grabs on Saturday at Delta Center at 12:45 PM ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Arizona vs. Dayton Game Info and Odds

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 23, 2024
  • Game Time: 12:45 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Salt Lake City, Utah
  • Arena: Delta Center

Arizona vs. Dayton Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Arizona win (65.2%)

Before you bet on Saturday's Arizona-Dayton spread (Arizona -8.5) or total (149.5 points), take a look at the betting insights and trends below.

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Arizona vs. Dayton: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • Arizona has put together a 22-12-0 ATS record so far this year.
  • Dayton has compiled a 17-15-0 record against the spread this year.
  • Arizona covers the spread when it is an 8.5-point favorite or more 61.5% of the time. That's more often than Dayton covers as an underdog of 8.5 or more (never covered this season).
  • The Wildcats own a better record against the spread when playing at home (11-5-0) than they do in road games (7-4-0).
  • In 2023-24 against the spread, the Flyers have a lower winning percentage at home (.400, 6-9-0 record) than away (.636, 7-4-0).

Arizona vs. Dayton: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • Arizona has been the moneyline favorite in 29 games this season and has come away with the win 22 times (75.9%) in those contests.
  • The Wildcats have a mark of 19-5 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -430 or better on the moneyline.
  • Dayton has compiled a 5-2 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 71.4% of those games).
  • The Flyers have played as a moneyline underdog of +330 or longer in just one game this season, which they lost.
  • Arizona has an implied victory probability of 81.1% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Arizona vs. Dayton Head-to-Head Comparison

  • Arizona is outscoring opponents by 15.9 points per game with a +538 scoring differential overall. It puts up 87.9 points per game (third in college basketball) and allows 72 per outing (184th in college basketball).
  • Caleb Love's team-leading 18.1 points per game ranks 80th in the nation.
  • Dayton's +265 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 8.3 points per game) is a result of putting up 74.4 points per game (152nd in college basketball) while giving up 66.1 per outing (27th in college basketball).
  • Daron Holmes is ranked 30th in college basketball with a team-high 20.3 points per game.
  • The 42.8 rebounds per game the Wildcats average rank first in college basketball, and are 10.1 more than the 32.7 their opponents collect per outing.
  • Oumar Ballo is 14th in college basketball action with 10.2 rebounds per game to lead the Wildcats.
  • The 33.7 rebounds per game the Flyers accumulate rank 278th in the nation. Their opponents collect 32.7.
  • Holmes tops the Flyers with 8.4 rebounds per game (67th in college basketball).
  • Arizona ranks 17th in college basketball with 104.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and 17th in college basketball defensively with 85.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.
  • The Flyers rank 28th in college basketball averaging 103 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 131st, allowing 91.5 points per 100 possessions.

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