Alabama vs Kentucky College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 3

The Alabama Crimson Tide (10-3, 0-0 SEC) take a three-game winning streak into a home matchup with the Kentucky Wildcats (9-4, 0-0 SEC), who have won four straight.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Alabama vs. Kentucky Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Saturday, January 3, 2026
- Game time: 12 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN
- Location: Tuscaloosa, Alabama
- Arena: Coleman Coliseum
Alabama vs. Kentucky Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Alabama win (66.1%)
Before making a wager on Saturday's Alabama-Kentucky spread (Alabama -4.5) or over/under (175.5 points), read the betting trends and insights below.
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Alabama vs. Kentucky: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Alabama has put together a 6-7-0 record against the spread this season.
- Kentucky has put together a 6-7-0 ATS record so far this year.
- Alabama covers the spread when it is a 4.5-point favorite or more 50% of the time. That's more often than Kentucky covers as an underdog of 4.5 or more (never covered this season).
- The Crimson Tide had a worse record against the spread in home games (8-7-0) than they did in away games (8-4-0) last season.
- Against the spread, the Wildcats were better at home (10-8-0) than on the road (4-6-0) last season.
Alabama vs. Kentucky: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Alabama has been the moneyline favorite in seven games this season and has come away with the win six times (85.7%) in those contests.
- The Crimson Tide have been a -230 moneyline favorite on six occasions this season and won every game.
- Kentucky has been the moneyline underdog just two other times so far this season, and it lost both games.
- The Wildcats have played as a moneyline underdog of +188 or longer in only two games this season, which they lost both.
- Alabama has an implied victory probability of 69.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Alabama vs. Kentucky Head-to-Head Comparison
- Last year, Alabama was best in college basketball on offense (90.7 points scored per game) but third-worst on defense (81.3 points allowed).
- Alabama was the third-best team in college basketball in rebounds per game (38.8) and ranked 290th in rebounds allowed (33.0) last season.
- With 17.1 assists per game, Alabama was 13th-best in the country last year.
- In terms of turnovers, Alabama was 267th in the nation in committing them (12.1 per game) last year. It was 305th in forcing them (10.0 per game).
- Kentucky gave up 77.2 points per game last year (315th-ranked in college basketball), but it really shined offensively, averaging 84.4 points per contest (seventh-best).
- Last year Kentucky grabbed 34.1 rebounds per game (63rd-ranked in college basketball) and ceded 32.1 rebounds per contest (239th-ranked).
- Kentucky was one of the top teams in college basketball in terms of assists, as it dished out 16.9 per game (17th-best in college basketball).
- Kentucky committed 10.4 turnovers per game (108th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while forcing 9.9 turnovers per contest (312th-ranked).
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