NHL

3 NHL Player Prop Bets to Target on Thursday 3/28/24

Tom Vecchio
Tom Vecchio@Tom_Vecchio1

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy hockey on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Utilizing numberFire's projections as a guide, here are some NHL player props bets that look appealing via the NHL odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note that betting lines and numberFire's projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

NHL Prop Bets

John Tavares To Score a Goal (+190)

A good matchup and a powerful offense puts John Tavares in a spot to score tonight.

The Toronto Maple Leafs come in with a 3.57 implied goal total as they are at home to take on the Washington Capitals. Tavares is normally the center on the second forward line for the Leafs but with Auston Matthews listed as a game-time decision tonight, Tavares could be bumped up to the first line if Matthews is out.

Even if Matthews was fully healthy, this is still a good spot to target Tavares for a goal. Over the last two weeks, the Maple Leafs have scored a staggering 4.58 Goals per 60 minutes in five-on-five situations, which is not only the best in the league, it's the best by 0.70.

They are piling up the goals right now and should look to continue that versus the Capitals' defense, which is a bit inconsistent. Over the last two weeks, the Capitals have allowed 62.74 Total Shot Attempts per 60 minutes in five-on-five situations, which is the fifth-most in the league.

The Leafs should have plenty of chances to pile up the shots, putting Tavares in a great spot.

Martin Necas Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-146)

The Carolina Hurricanes have a juicy 3.88 implied goal total at home against the Detroit Red Wings.

When it comes to the Canes, their calling card is shots on goal. The way you get a lot of shots on goal is by taking a lot of shot attempts. Over the last two weeks, we see the Canes with the second-most (72.3) Total Shot Attempts and the second-most (35.37) Actual Shots on Goal, both per 60 minutes in five-on-five situations.

Over that same time, the Red Wings' defense has allowed the 12th-most (61.46) Total Shot Attempts in the same situations. This is a prime matchup for the Canes to pile up the shots and bounceback after a lackluster loss the other night.

We turn to Martin Necas, who comes in with 33 shots on goal over his last 10 games, and is the primary shooter on the third forward line and the second power-play unit. Necas is also averaging 3.3 shots on goal in home games this season, which he should be able to hit again tonight.

Owen Tippett Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-118)

Finally, we turn to the Philadelphia Flyers also in a good matchup versus the Montreal Canadiens.

Despite sitting in the middle of the league's overall standings, the Flyers have some great underlying offensive metrics. This season, they are generating 32.16 Shots on Goal per 60 minutes in five-on-five situations, which is the fifth-best in the league.

On the other side, the Canadiens have allowed the seventh-most (30.77) Shots on Goal in the same situations, making this a favorable matchup for the Flyers.

That leads me to Owen Tippett, who leads the Flyers with 258 shots on goal this season, which is good for 3.7 per game. A role on the first forward line and the first power-play are the ideal spot for him to pile up the shots against a weak defense.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.