3 NFL Player Prop Bets for Week 11

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy football on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Utilizing numberFire's projections as a guide, here are some NFL player props bets that look appealing.

Please note that betting lines and numberFire's game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.

Terry McLaurin Any Time Touchdown (+185)

With a very favorable matchup against the New York Giants, Terry McLaurin is primed to score a touchdown this week.

The Washington Commanders have a 23.00 implied team total this week and are 9.5-point home favorites, putting them in a spot to control the game.

The Giants are simply bad against wide receivers this season as they have allowed the second-most receiving yards (1,883) and tied for the third-most (10) touchdowns. It's been a tough year for Big Blue and that looks to continue this week.

The Commanders are passing the ball 68.73% of the time, which is the league's highest pass play rate. Match that up with a terrible Giants' secondary and it could be a big game for their offense.

We'll turn to Terry McLaurin, who has seen his offensive role increase in recent weeks, and yet, he has just one touchdown in that span.

For the entire season, McLaurin has a 20.9% target share, 29.3% air yards share, and a 15.0% red zone target share. The first two are the highest on the team, while the red zone target share is the fourth-highest on the team.

As mentioned, things have changed a bit and over the last five weeks, McLaurin has a 24.2% target share, 33.9% air yards share, and 28.6% red zone target share. The first two are still the highest on the team, while the red zone target share is now the second-highest.

His red zone target share in the last five weeks is nearly double compared to his entire season rate, and just a single touchdown to show for it. This is McLaurin's week to get into the endzone.

Marquise Brown Over 56.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

With Kyler Murray back for the Arizona Cardinals, things should be trending upward for their offense.

Murray returned last week in what was a relatively modest performance but things can take another step forward this week against the Houston Texans. This game has a close 5.5-point spread and a 48.5 over/under, which is the highest of the week.

Last week, Marquise Brown had a very quiet game with just 4 targets, 1 catch, and 28 receiving yards. That equaled a 12.9% target share and 20.3% air yards share, which are rather low for his standards.

If we look back to last season at the games that both Murray and Brown played together, we get a bit of a different picture.

Last season, Brown had a 26.7 % target share and 40.9% air yards share, both of which were the second-highest on the team behind only DeAndre Hopkins. The Murray to Brown connection was very clear last season and I'll take last week's performance as a bit of rust overall.

This week, they get to take on the Texans, who have allowed the 14th most (1,458) receiving yards to opposing wide receivers, or 162 yards per game.

This is the type of matchup and game environment for them to re-establish their on-field connection, putting Brown in a spot to hit over 56.5 receiving yards.

Jahmyr Gibbs Over 25.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

The Detroit Lions have a big 27.50 implied team total this week and should be able to move the ball against the Chicago Bears.

While Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery are splitting time in the Lions' backfield, it's clear Gibbs is the pass-catching option.

Montgomery comes in with a very low 5.2% target share, while only running a route on 34.7% of dropbacks. Compare that to Gibbs, who has a 16.0% target share, while running a route on 59.1% of dropbacks.

This has led to Gibbs averaging 28 receiving yards per game this season, while Montgomery is only at 11. If a Lions' running back is going to be involved in the passing game, it's going to be Gibbs.

The matchup this week against the Bears is rather interesting, since they have allowed the fifth-fewest (593) rushing yards to running backs this season. It is truly a tough matchup on the ground, but that's not the case in the air. The Bears' defense has also allowed 615 receiving yards to running backs, which is the most in the NFL.

If they can't move the ball on the ground since it's a tough matchup, they should turn to the passing game. If they turn to the passing game, Gibbs is the one that will be involved, not Montgomery.

Looking to build some NFL DFS lineups? Head over to FanDuel’s daily fantasy football lobby to see all the offerings for this week's slates.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.