3 MLB Prop Bets to Target on Wednesday 7/3/24

Annie Nader
Annie Nader@ANader33
3 MLB Prop Bets to Target on Wednesday 7/3/24

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy baseball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Utilizing our projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- as a guide, here are some MLB player props bets that look appealing via the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note that betting lines and projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.

MLB Player Props

Tyler O'Neill To Record 2+ Bases (+100)

Tyler O'Neill will get to attack a lefty this evening, so let's strike on one of his batter props.

This season, O'Neill is victimizing left-handed pitchers. He comes into the night with a .344 BA, 217 wRC+, and 51.3% fly-ball rate versus this handedness.

He might be good for an extra-base hit, as he owns a .375 ISO and .719 SLG in this split, which is second in all of MLB behind only Aaron Judge. That's some pretty good company.

Trevor Rogers is the southpaw that the Miami Marlins will send out tonight. He sports an ugly 4.87 ERA, 5.18 xERA, and 4.71 SIERA. Rogers has been allowing right-handed batters to produce a .466 SLG and 1.16 home runs per nine innings, all while striking out at a muted 16.8% K%.

This is an awesome matchup for O'Neill, so I'm a bit surprised we can get this prop at even money.

Across the last 30 days of play, he has been generating a 55.6% hard-hit rate, 46.7% fly-ball rate, and a .288 ISO, so I'd also consider O'Neill To Hit A Home Run (+460). He's hit at least one long ball in 24.1% of his games this season, but these +460 odds imply just a 17.9% probability.

Spencer Steer To Record An RBI (+160)

Carlos Rodon has been a total dumpster fire as of late. Across his last three starts, he has surrendered an eye-popping 20 earned runs and 5 home runs through just 13 2/3 IP.

Despite getting rocked in three straight games, Rodon still owns a fairly mediocre 4.42 ERA, 4.62 xERA, and 4.35 xFIP, so it hasn't been all bad news for the former All-Star.

Even still, I'm looking at the Cincinnati Reds, particularly their righties, to tread on Rodon in this one.

This season, Rodon has let up a .344 wOBA, .216 ISO, 1.63 home runs per nine innings, and a 48.5% fly-ball rate to right-handed batters.

Enter Spencer Steer, who has been rocking a 42.5% hard-hit rate, 45.2% fly-ball rate, and 11.0% barrel rate across the last 30 days and could make good on a matchup against a lefty.

Steer comes in with a .380 wOBA, .235 ISO, 143 wRC+, and 44.6% fly-ball rate versus lefties. He typically bats cleanup for the Reds, which has allowed him to knock in a team-leading 51 RBIs through 83 games.

Cincinnati possesses the ninth-best OBP against lefties and is skilled at navigating the basepaths, stealing a league-leading 123 bags this season. Steer looks to be in a great spot to knock in a run, so I'm happy to support these +160 odds.

Jake Cronenworth To Record An RBI (+135)

Jon Gray has been hit with at least eight earned runs in two of his last three starts. Now, he'll take the bump against a San Diego Padres lineup that is front-loaded with lefties, so he might be in for another blowup.

This season, Gray has allowed left-handed hitters to generate a .303 BA, .507 SLG, 42.0% fly-ball rate, 40.2% hard-hit rate, and 1.59 home runs per nine innings.

Lefty Luis Arraez (.339 BA versus righties) and switch-hitter Jurickson Profar (.396 OBP versus righties) will lead things off for the Padres, and I like their chances to get on base before Jake Cronenworth, who is expected to bat third, walks to the plate.

Cronenworth, a lefty, sports a .225 ISO, .363 wOBA, and 142 wRC+ versus right-handed pitchers. He leads San Diego in extra-base hits (31) and has knocked in 53 runs through 84 games. This date with Gray could be fruitful for Cronenworth and the Padres.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.