2024 NFL Draft Betting: Draft Order, Analysis for Top 32 Picks

Skyler Carlin
Skyler Carlin@skyler_carlin

Following the Super Bowl, the next big event for the NFL is the 2024 NFL Draft, which starts on April 25th.

The draft order for the first round of this year's draft has now been decided, and we'll run through those 32 slots here. But that's not all. By using a mixture of team needs and FanDuel Sportsbook's NFL Draft odds, I'll also provide some analysis on what each team could do in the first round.

NFL Draft season is officially here, so let's dive in.

2024 NFL Draft Odds and Analysis

1. Chicago Bears (via Panthers)

The Justin Fields era could be coming to a close for the Chicago Bears this offseason. The Bears would reportedly need a "historic" trade offer to surrender the No. 1 pick in this year's draft. If the Bears stay put, Caleb Williams is the clear favorite to be chosen first, indicated by Williams having the shortest odds to be the first pick (-1200), per the NFL Draft odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. Trading back could still lead to the Bears addressing the quarterback position and/or adding a skill player who can be a prominent piece for whoever Chicago's quarterback is next season.

2. Washington Commanders

The Washington Commanders are another team in the market for adding a new quarterback this offseason -- likely via the draft. Sam Howell proved to be too inconsistent for the team's liking this past season and ended up ranking just 30th in adjusted yards per attempt (5.8). With Williams expected to go first, the Commanders are trending toward having a choice of either Drake Maye or Jayden Daniels at No. 2 overall. There's a chance the Commanders are able to acquire the top pick from the Bears, but that outcome seems doubtful. Maye has the shortest odds to be the second pick (-155).

3. New England Patriots

Things are going to look a bit different for the New England Patriots in 2024 following Bill Belichick moving on in favor of new head coach Jerod Mayo. Quarterback is the biggest need for the Patriots after they finished with the third-worst schedule-adjusted pass offense, via numberFire's metrics. Neither Mac Jones nor Bailey Zappe looks like the long-term answers at quarterback, so Maye or Daniels makes a lot of sense with this pick. The Patriots could also reportedly be looking to take another offensive player -- or trade back -- instead of taking a quarterback. As such, New England has the third-shortest odds to draft Marvin Harrison Jr. (+650).

4. Arizona Cardinals

The team with the shortest odds to draft Marvin Harrison Jr. (-175) are the Arizona Cardinals. The Cardinals appear to be committed to Kyler Murray as their franchise signal-caller, making it improbable that they consider a quarterback in this spot. Surrounding Murray with more weapons is surely a priority for an Arizona squad that had the seventh-worst schedule-adjusted pass offense in 2023, especially with veteran Marquise Brown set to hit free agency this offseason. If Harrison isn't the wideout the Cardinals prefer, Malik Nabers could be a dark horse pick for Arizona.

5. Los Angeles Chargers

Upon hiring Jim Harbaugh from the college ranks, the Los Angeles Chargers will have a variety of options early in this year's draft. Whether it be a wideout or tight end, the Chargers may center their attention on making sure they are giving Justin Herbert plenty of firepower to work with. Keenan Allen is turning 32 soon, and Mike Williams could be a cap casualty for a Chargers team that needs to free up money. While adding a receiver -- Nabers or Rome Odunze -- in the first round for the second straight year is a possibility, the Chargers own the shortest odds to draft Brock Bowers (+250).

6. New York Giants

The New York Giants handed Daniel Jones a lucrative extension last offseason, which makes it unlikely they'll look to add a quarterback early in the 2024 NFL draft. Besides bolstering their skill position groups, the Giants could be in the market for an offensive tackle who can pair well with Andrew Thomas. The likes of Joe Alt, JC Latham, Taliese Fuaga, and Olumuyiwa Fashanu are all offensive linemen New York could be interested in. On the defensive side, the Giants could improve in the interior of the defensive line or strengthen their secondary, although they were roughly league average in schedule-adjusted D in 2023.

7. Tennessee Titans

Keeping Will Levis upright should be the goal for the Tennessee Titans this offseason as the young quarterback enters his second season in the NFL. After Levis got sacked on 9.9% of his drop backs, via NextGenStats, offensive line is a most glaring need for the Titans. Tennessee will have a handful of offensive tackles to choose from at the seventh-overall pick. Aside from getting better in the trenches, the Titans could also consider taking one of the premier receiver prospects with DeAndre Hopkins turning 32 years old this summer.

8. Atlanta Falcons

Arthur Smith is out, and Raheem Morris is in at head coach for the Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons have formed a talented offensive trio of Bijan Robinson, Drake London, and Kyle Pitts, but the quarterback position remains unsettled. Whether it be through free agency or the draft, the Falcons are probably going to have a new quarterback operating the offense next season. Atlanta currently sports the shortest odds to draft Michael Penix Jr. (+430), but they may be able to get Penix later. With the Falcons logging the eighth-worst pressure rate (33.6%) in 2023, an edge rusher like Dallas Turner or Jared Verse makes sense.

9. Chicago Bears (via Panthers)

The Bears have two top-10 selections thanks to last year's trade with the Carolina Panthers, giving Chicago an endless amount of possibilities in this year's draft. While the quarterback position is likely going to be addressed with the No. 1 pick, Chicago can improve its offensive arsenal with the No. 9 pick. If Nabers is available, he'd be a logical choice to pair with D.J. Moore. Odunze is another name to watch in the event that Nabers and Harrison are already off of the board. Offensive line and defensive line are also worthy considerations at this spot. Chicago as plenty of holes.

10. New York Jets

Being that the New York Jets are placing all of their confidence in a 40-year-old Aaron Rodgers coming off a season-ending Achilles injury, they desperately need to improve the offensive line. Trading back and trying to acquire more draft capital is a possibility, but the Jets will likely have a few offensive tackles to select from at the 10th overall pick. Or maybe they look to add another offensive weapon alongside Garrett Wilson. While the Chargers are the favorites to take Bowers, the Jets have the second-best odds (+550) to be the team that adds the versatile tight end. Wide receiver shouldn't be completely ruled out, either.

11. Minnesota Vikings

The Minnesota Vikings seem unsettled at quarterback, and it remains to be seen if they'll retain Kirk Cousins following a season-ending Achilles ailment, which puts them in a position to potentially make a move for a QB in the 2024 draft. While trading up for one of Williams, Maye, or Daniels can't be ruled out, the Vikings have the third-best odds to draft Michael Penix Jr. (+480) and also the third-best odds to draft J.J. McCarthy (+600). An edge rusher could be a potential outcome here, too, with Danielle Hunter a free agent.

12. Denver Broncos

Assuming the benching of Russell Wilson is a sign of things to come, the Denver Broncos are in the market for a new QB this offseason. If Sean Payton desperately wants one of Williams, Maye, or Daniels, the Broncos could be aggressive in trading up to get a quarterback. On the other hand, Denver has the second-best odds to draft J.J. McCarthy (+600) and the shortest odds to draft Bo Nix. It seems inevitable that -- one way or another -- the Broncos get a quarterback in this year's draft.

13. Las Vegas Raiders

Yet another team who will likely be looking to make an upgrade at quarterback is the Las Vegas Raiders. The franchise probably feels it can't move forward with Aidan O'Connell or Jimmy Garoppolo as the team's starting signal-caller. The Raiders are another team that could package picks in hopes of landing one of the top quarterback prospects in this year's draft. That being said, FanDuel Sportsbook has Las Vegas listed with the shortest odds to draft J.J. McCarthy at +500. If the Raiders trade for a quarterback instead or wait to select one, they could also look to get Maxx Crosby some help on the defensive side of the ball with this pick.

14. New Orleans Saints

Given the contract he has, Derek Carr is going to be the starting quarterback for the New Orleans Saints for at least one more season. Therefore, fortifying the offensive line around him could be a wise decision for the Saints in the first round. Along with trying to be better at the line of scrimmage on offense, the Saints could look to improve their defensive line.

15. Indianapolis Colts

The Indianapolis Colts took Anthony Richardson in the first round of last year's draft, which should rule them out of selecting a quarterback in this year's draft. The offense is mostly set -- assuming the Colts prioritize re-signing or placing the franchise tag on Michael Pittman Jr.. Taking that into account, the Colts could prioritize reinforcing their defense. Indianapolis had the 17th-ranked schedule-adjusted pass defense this past season, and in a division with C.J. Stroud and Trevor Lawrence, the Colts may want to improve at corner. Terrion Arnold, Kool-Aid McKinstry, and Quinyon Mitchell are cornerbacks to keep an eye on.

16. Seattle Seahawks

Over the years, we've seen the Seattle Seahawks have some impressive draft classes with general manager John Schneider and head coach Pete Carroll steering the ship. But with Carroll being replaced by Mike Macdonald, the Seahawks are entering a new era. The offense line could use some work to help Geno Smith operate from a clean pocket next season. The pending free agent status of Leonard Williams also makes interior defensive line a potential need for Seattle. Fashanu, Troy Fautanu, and Jackson Powers-Johnson are among the long list of prospects to watch if the Seahawks don't trade back.

17. Jacksonville Jaguars

Things went awry for the Jacksonville Jaguars down the stretch this past season, making this an important draft for Doug Pederson's squad. Lawrence is undeniably the long-term solution at quarterback, and the Jaguars would be wise to reinforce the interior of their offensive line after deploying the fifth-worst schedule-adjusted rushing attack. Even with Josh Allen notching a career-best 17.5 sacks in 2023, the Jaguars still tallied the sixth-lowest sack rate (5.7%) in the NFL. Besides making sure they retain Allen, Jacksonville could consider strengthening its defensive front.

18. Cincinnati Bengals

It was a rollercoaster season for the Cincinnati Bengals in 2023 with Joe Burrow getting dinged up prior to Week 1 and then suffering a season-ending elbow injury later in the campaign. While Burrow is cemented as the long-term starter under center, there is uncertainty surrounding the futures of Tee Higgins and Joe Mixon. Even though the Bengals have just the fifth-best odds to draft Brock Bowers (+1100), there are some mock drafts that have the do-it-all tight end falling to the Bengals. Offensive tackle and defensive tackle are other needs for Cincinnati, and they could target a wideout if Higgins departs this offseason.

19. Los Angeles Rams

The Los Angeles Rams were among the teams who overachieved in 2023. It was an impressive draft class for the Rams this past season, with rookies Puka Nacua, Steve Avila, Byron Young, and Kobie Turner all being key contributors. Despite Matthew Stafford returning for another season in 2024, the Rams notably have the fourth-best odds to draft J.J. McCarthy (+900). Following a positive year for Sean McVay and the Rams, edge rusher, offensive tackle, and cornerback positions should be at the top of the team's draft board. As long as the Rams hold on to this pick, this will be the organization's first first-round selection since they took Jared Goff in 2016.

20. Pittsburgh Steelers

Even with Mason Rudolph starting at quarterback down the stretch, the Pittsburgh Steelers snuck into the playoffs this past season. The quarterback position is a glaring need, but the Steelers could add a QB via free agency or by way of a trade. That leaves the Steelers with a bevy of paths to take here. Pittsburgh could continue building up its offensive line or could give Joey Porter Jr. some aid in the secondary.

21. Miami Dolphins

In back-to-back seasons, the Miami Dolphins have fallen flat in the second half of the year and in the playoffs. The Dolphins have shown a ton of interest in getting Tua Tagovailoa signed to a long-term deal, which makes the offensive line a priority entering the offseason. Even with Tagovailoa leading all quarterbacks in time to throw (2.36 seconds), he needs a strong O-Line in front of him due to a lack of mobility. Aside from the offensive line, the Dolphins could look at edge rushers like Verse or Laiatu Latu with Bradley Chubb and Jaelan Phillips both coming off season-ending ailments.

22. Philadelphia Eagles

The Philadelphia Eagles deployed the fifth-worst schedule-adjusted pass defense in 2023. With veterans James Bradberry and Darius Slay showing signs of decline, cornerback should be atop the team's needs entering the draft. General manager Howie Roseman has done a phenomenal job retooling the roster over the years, and he'll have his work cut out for him on the defensive side of the ball this offseason. Mitchell, McKinstry, Cooper DeJean, and Nate Wiggins are cornerbacks to keep tabs on for the Eagles. Philadelphia's defense surrendered the fifth-most expected points added per drop back (0.02), which goes to show just how badly the secondary needs to be addressed.

23. Houston Texans (via Browns)

A team that far exceeded expectations this past season, the Houston Texans had the Offensive Rookie of the Year (Stroud) and Defensive Rookie of the Year (Will Anderson Jr.) following a remarkable draft in Demeco Ryans' first year at head coach. With Stroud on a rookie deal, Houston has plenty of money to spend this offseason, but it could potentially lose Jonathan Greenard in free agency. The defensive front alongside Anderson and the secondary alongside Derek Stingley Jr. appear to be the current weakest spots of the roster.

24. Dallas Cowboys

After another strong showing in the regular season, the Dallas Cowboys had another early exit in the postseason. The offensive line has typically been a strong unit in front of Dak Prescott, but Tyron Smith is an impending free agent. As for the defense, cornerback could be considered at pick No. 24 with Trevon Diggs recovering from a season-ending injury and Stephon Gilmore turning 34 years old next season. Fixing a run defense that had the fourth-worst rushing success rate (56.3%) should also be a priority for the Cowboys.

25. Green Bay Packers

The Green Bay Packers are certainly in the running when it comes to having the best draft class from the 2023 draft. Amid an improbable playoff run to the Divisional Round, the Packers had first-year players like Lukas Van Ness, Luke Musgrave, Jayden Reed, Tucker Kraft, Dontayvion Wicks, and Karl Brooks log meaningful snaps. This offseason will likely begin with the Packers handing Jordan Love an extension. From there, bolstering all three levels of the defense should be at the top of the list of Green Bay's goals in the draft.

26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

One of the most interesting decisions this offseason is whether or not the Tampa Bay Buccaneers elect to give Baker Mayfield a multi-year contract. Beside Mayfield, it remains to be seen if the Buccaneers are able to retain Mike Evans, who will be seeking his 11th straight 1,000-yard season in 2024. With the uncertainty surrounding Mayfield's future with the team, the Buccaneers have the seventh-best odds (+1300) to be the team who takes Nix. Despite Tristan Wirfs being a franchise cornerstone at tackle, Tampa Bay would also benefit from fortifying its offensive line in this draft.

27. Arizona Cardinals (via Texans)

The Cardinals currently possess the No. 4 and No. 27 picks in the first round. If Arizona uses its early first-round selection on someone who can help Murray and the offense, the Cardinals have a plethora of options late in the first round. Aside from doubling up at receiver, Arizona could add a prospect at any one of the premier positions on defense after concluding the year with the second-worst schedule-adjusted D. While it seems likely the Cardinals use their first pick in the draft on an offensive player for the third straight year, the defense needs a lot of love this offseason, as well.

28. Buffalo Bills

It helps to have Josh Allen to build around if you are the Buffalo Bills. At the same time, the Bills need to make moves that can get them over the hump in the AFC. Considering that Gabriel Davis is a free agent and Stefon Diggs had a forgettable second half of the year, Buffalo could be inclined to snag one of the receiver prospects with the 28th overall pick. Brian Thomas Jr. and Keon Coleman are viable options as the Bills could use an outside receiver with size to pair with Diggs. Outside of continuing to give Allen a strong arsenal of weapons, the Bills could add an edge rusher, with Von Miller not living up to expectations since the team signed him.

29. Detroit Lions

Fans of the Detroit Lions witnessed a bittersweet ending to the season after the team won its first playoff game in 32 years. Getting bounced in the Conference Championship Round after holding a 20-7 lead over the 49ers will haunt fans for years, but the front office has been drafting well under general manager Brad Holmes and head coach Dan Campbell. Just this past season, rookies Jahmyr Gibbs and Sam LaPorta played pivotal roles. While the offense is a strength for the Lions, the defense allowed the third-most expected points added per drop back (0.05). Detroit desperately needs to improve on defense.

30. Baltimore Ravens

This appeared to be the year the Baltimore Ravens put it all together to push for a Super Bowl, only for them to fall at home to the Chiefs in the AFC title game. Lamar Jackson won his second NFL MVP, and the defense was a dominant unit. Despite losing Macdonald at defensive coordinator -- and other assistants -- the Ravens have proven they are one of the best teams at developing players. Even though Baltimore did a better job of giving Jackson more weapons in 2023, it could be worthwhile to continue improving the wide receiver room. The defense could also have some holes to fill if Justin Madubuike and Jadeveon Clowney don't return.

31. San Francisco 49ers

What do you do when you're the team that lost in the Super Bowl? Brock Purdy is on a low-cost deal for two more years, and the San Francisco 49ers should have most -- if not all -- of their talented skill guys back next season. After watching Chris Jones terrorize their offensive line in the Super Bowl, the 49ers would likely benefit from improving up front. Luckily for the 49ers, there are plenty of trench options in this year's draft. If San Francisco wants to strengthen its defense, the secondary could use some work alongside Charvarius Ward. San Fran is the early 2025 Super Bowl favorite (+500), according to FanDuel Sportsbook's Super Bowl odds.

32. Kansas City Chiefs

The scary part for the entire NFL is that the Kansas City Chiefs have won back-to-back Super Bowls, and they are inevitably going to surround Patrick Mahomes -- the favorite to be next season's MVP (+550), per the NFL MVP odds at FanDuel Sportsbook -- with better weapons moving forward. Outside of Travis Kelce and Rashee Rice, the Chiefs lack reliable pass-catching options. Kansas City will also have to make contract decisions on Jones and L'Jarius Sneed on the defensive side of the ball. Getting someone like Thomas or Coleman at receiver makes sense here if either are available. Troy Franklin and Adonai Mitchell are among the other wideouts to watch when Kansas City is on the clock.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.