Heat vs Celtics Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Game 6 on FanDuel Sportsbook

Devon Platana
Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics prediction, odds & prop bets for NBA Playoffs Game 6 on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics prediction, odds & prop bets for NBA Playoffs Game 6 on FanDuel Sportsbook. / Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports

Heat vs Celtics Game 6 Info

2021-22 NBA Playoffs — Eastern Conference Finals Game 6 (BOS Leads 3-2)
Miami Heat (53-29, 24-17 Away) vs. Boston Celtics (51-31, 28-13 Home)
Date: Friday, May 27, 2022
Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
Venue: TD Garden — Boston, MA
Coverage: ESPN

The Boston Celtics' defense was in full effect on Wednesday night, taking home the 93-80 Game 5 victory to make the Eastern Conference Finals 3-2 in their favor. It was the second consecutive game that Boston held Miami to fewer than 90 points, firmly pushing the latter's back against the wall ahead of Game 6.

The Heat have already won one of their previous two road game in this series, making a Game 6 win within the realm of possibility. Their starting five must be much better than they were in the last two contests, but only time will tell if they can fully learn from their previous shortcomings.

Heat vs Celtics Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: MIA: (+340) | BOS: (-430)
Spread: MIA: +9 (-114) | BOS: -9 (-106)
Total: 200.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
Odds to Win NBA Finals: MIA: (+550) | BOS: (+180)

The odds are looking quite different compared to the last time these teams met at TD Garden. The Celtics were 7-point favorites in Game 4 compared to them being favored by nine ahead of Friday. The point total has also dropped from 206 in Game 4 to 204 in Game 5 to 200.5 in Game 5, indicating that oddsmakers are preparing for another low-scoring matchup.

Heat vs Celtics Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Boston Celtics win (70.6%)

numberFire's projection model likes the Celtics once again on home soil and for good reason. They're 14-6 straight up in their last 20 home games. Even though the Celtics have a losing record (4-6) against the Heat in their last 10 meetings at TD Garden, Miami has looked absolutely dreadful since Game 4. Momentum is on Boston's side and that should be enough to close out the series.

Final Score Prediction: Celtics: 103 | Heat: 95

Heat vs Celtics Betting Trends

- Miami is 11-4 against the spread (ATS) in its last 15 road games against Boston.
- Boston is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The total has hit the under in seven of Miami's last 10 games as the underdog.
- The total has hit the under in six of Boston's last eight games as the favorite.

The main story when considering betting trends concerns the possibility of Game 6 ending with another low score. A 200.5-point total is pretty low, but the Heat and Celtics have consistently hit the under when playing the underdog and favorite, respectively. They've averaged a combined 178.5 points over the last two matchups and with the way both defenses have been playing, it'd hardly be shocking to see another smaller total on Friday.

Heat vs Celtics Best Bet

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Sticking with the possibility of a low-scoring affair, the best bet tonight is taking under 200.5 points at -110 odds.

Although both teams are capable of putting up the points, the Heat and Celtics have combined for an average of just 201.8 points in their last eight meetings. Add in the fact that both rosters are far from being 100% healthy and it's easy to see how that trend could continue.

With the Heat's offensive stars completely disappearing over the last two outings, I like the under for Game 6 on Friday.

Bet Over 200.5 Points (-110)

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Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.