The Duel

Buffalo Weather Forecast Could Significantly Impact Bills vs Patriots Matchup

Jason Schandl
Bills vs Patriots weather could have a huge impact on the Week 8 matchup.
Bills vs Patriots weather could have a huge impact on the Week 8 matchup. / Maddie Meyer/Getty Images

Week 8 of the 2020 NFL season brings us our first real dose of extreme weather conditions, which threaten to shake up plenty of matchups. That includes the crucial AFC East matchup between the Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots.

When we're talking about extreme weather in Buffalo we're usually looking at cold and snow, but today it's heavy winds that will play a role instead.

The Bills' high-octane offense has featured plenty of deep balls from Josh Allen, who ranks 14th in the NFL with an 8.4-yard average depth of target (aDOT). Expect him to be forced to settle for checkdowns, with fewer deep balls available for Stefon Diggs (10.6-yard aDOT). The returning John Brown (14.6-yard aDOT) may end up being little more than a decoy.

The one-two punch of Devin Singletary and Zack Moss in the backfield should also see much more work than usual. The Bills have run on just 38.4% of their plays this season (No. 25 in the NFL), and we can expect a much higher percentage in this one.

The Patriots are already running the ball more than almost any other team, with their 49.2% run play percentage ranking No. 3 in the NFL. Cam Newton has already been working mostly underneath (27th among 32 qualifying passers with a 6.9-yard aDOT), and an injury-depleted receiving corps certainly won't help him push the ball downfield in this wind.

In a situation this extreme, who knows what we'll see from the ever-creative Bill Belichick. Don't rule out a 1940's throwback with Newton running the single-wing offense.

On FanDuel Sportsbook, the over/under in this game has fallen to just 40.5 total points. That is Week 8's lowest mark.

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Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.