3 Best Patrick Mahomes Super Bowl 55 Prop Bets

3 best Patrick Mahomes prop bets for Super Bowl 55 between the Chiefs and Buccaneers in 2021.
3 best Patrick Mahomes prop bets for Super Bowl 55 between the Chiefs and Buccaneers in 2021. / Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images

The Kansas City Chiefs shoot for their second straight Super Bowl win on Sunday, Feb. 7. Shoud the Chiefs beat the Buccaneers as a 3.5-point favorite, Patrick Mahomes is the favorite to win his second Super Bowl MVP.

Mahomes is the most popular player when it comes to betting Super Bowl props. Here are three of the best prop bets for Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes.

1. Passing Yards: Under 329.5 (-110)

Mahomes averaged a league-high 316 passing yards per game this season, and he passed for at least 330 yards in seven regular season games. In two playoff games, though, he's passed for just 580 yards. Now he faces the toughest test against Tampa Bay. It's notable that Mahomes passed for season highs of 37 completions, 49 attempts and 462 yards at Tampa Bay in a 27-24 Week 12 win. But the Bucs made some significant adjustments after that game. Tampa bay also will have CB Jamel Dean back to cover WR Tyreek Hill more closely, as he missed the Week 12 contest. Tampa Bay ranks No. 5 in Football Outsiders' pass defense DVOA metric, and it looks unlikely that Mahomes has anything close to a repeat performance of what we saw in Week 12.

2. Rushing Yards: Under 19.5 (+100)

This number may look low, but the Buccaneers have the NFL's No. 1 rush defense. They've played better down the stretch and have been disrupting opponents backfields with more pressure. Mahomes may be on the move more, but Tampa's speed on defense is excellent. Mahomes ran the ball just four times against the Bucs in Week 12, and he's been held under 19.5 rushing yards in both playoff games this season.

3. Interception: Yes (+150)

Mahomes tossed 2 interceptions in last year's Super Bowl, but bailed out the Chiefs with a fourth quarter rally. He's thrown just 6 INT's all season including the playoffs, but again, the Buccaneers defense and pressure causes problems. Tipped passes, tighter coverage and more quarterback pressure can cause mistakes and less accurate throws. Mahomes is projected pass pass nearly 40 times. Take your chances at a plus price one of those is caught by a Buccaneers defender.

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