TAMPA, FL - DECEMBER 18: Quarterback Matt Ryan #2 of the Atlanta Falcons throws a pass to running back Terron Ward #28 in the first quarter against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on December 18, 2017 at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images)

Red-Zone Trends Boost Overs in NFL Betting Totals for Week 6

Cover Photo: Julio Aguilar/Getty Images


I think it's safe to say that bookmakers know what they're doing each week. And it's no surprise to see the three highest point totals all feature a common trend: red-zone numbers.


Each of the six teams we'll feature have an explosive offense, and they'll all look to keep that going in Week 6.

1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons – O/U: 57.5

Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images


In what is expected to be the highest-scoring game of the main slate, the Bucs and Falcons have been very generous to teams that have entered their red zone. In fact, the Bucs rank dead last in red-zone defense while the Falcons aren't far behind as the third-worst team in that regard. On the flip side, Tampa has been posting big numbers on offense via the long pass, but the Falcons' offense ranks ninth in red-zone touchdown percentage. 

2. Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals – O/U: 51.5

John Grieshop/Getty Images 


This game been trending this week, making it a great find for fantasy owners and DFS players. The total actually dropped three points from the opening line, and that might have to do with the fact that these teams haven't combined to hit the 50-point mark in any of their last five meetings. That's alright though -- 2018 is a new year and both teams rank in the top five in the NFL in red-zone touchdown percentage. The Steelers rank second at 78.6 percent while the Bengals rank fifth at 70.6 percent.

3. Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots – O/U: 60

Adam Glanzman/Getty Images 


Of course, the main event always goes last. Sixty points may seem like a lot, but we've got the visiting Chiefs coming in with a league-high 175 points scored this season. You think Tom Brady has something to say about that? The KC defense has been putrid, and the Pats had an extra three days to scheme some new wrinkles into their offense. It goes without saying that both teams have been amazing in the red zone -- KC's 76.2 percent red-zone touchdown rate puts them second in the NFL while the Pats' 68.8 percentage is sixth best. This screams for points so it's no wonder the over/under could end up at an all-time high on Sunday night.

Get $20 with your first deposit on FanDuel. Join Now.


Al Walsh is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Al Walsh also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username 14AdotWalsh. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.