Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for AL Wild Card Game 2 on Sept. 30

Odds updated as of 2:11 a.m.
On Wednesday in the MLB, the New York Yankees are playing the Boston Red Sox in Game 2 of the AL Wild Card Series.
Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's everything you need to know.
Yankees vs Red Sox Game Info
- New York Yankees (93-68) vs. Boston Red Sox (87-75)
- Date: Wednesday, September 30, 2026
- Time: 8 p.m. ET
- Venue: Yankee Stadium -- The Bronx, New York
- Coverage: NBC/Peacock
Yankees vs Red Sox Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: NYY: (-134) | BOS: (+116)
- Spread: NYY: -1.5 (+164) | BOS: +1.5 (-200)
- Total: 6.5 -- Over: (-124) | Under: (+102)
Yankees vs Red Sox Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Max Fried (Yankees) - 5-5, 2.80 ERA vs Sonny Gray (Red Sox) - 18-5, 2.72 ERA
The Yankees will look to Max Fried (5-5, 2.80 ERA) against the Red Sox and Sonny Gray (18-5, 2.72 ERA). When Fried starts, his team is 10-8-0 against the spread this season. When Fried starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 10-7. The Red Sox are 17-11-0 ATS in Gray's 28 starts with a set spread. The Red Sox were named the moneyline underdog for two Gray starts this season -- they won both.
Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Yankees win (59.6%)
Yankees vs Red Sox Moneyline
- Boston is a +116 underdog on the moneyline, while New York is a -134 favorite at home.
Yankees vs Red Sox Spread
- The Red Sox are +1.5 on the spread (-200 to cover), and New York is +164 to cover the runline.
Yankees vs Red Sox Over/Under
- A total of 6.5 runs has been set for the Yankees-Red Sox game on Sept. 30, with the over available at -124 and the under at +102.
Bet on New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox on FanDuel today!
Yankees vs Red Sox Betting Trends
- The Yankees have won in 75, or 60.5%, of the 124 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
- New York has a record of 52-35 when favored by -134 or more this year.
- The Yankees and their opponents have hit the over in 76 of their 157 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Yankees are 82-75-0 against the spread in their 157 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Red Sox have been the underdog on the moneyline 48 total times this season. They've finished 23-25 in those games.
- Boston has a 9-14 record (winning just 39.1% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of +116 or longer.
- The Red Sox have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 160 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 71 of those games (71-87-2).
- The Red Sox have a 75-85-0 record against the spread this season (covering 46.9% of the time).
Yankees Player Leaders
- Ben Rice leads New York in OBP (.363), slugging percentage (.534) and total hits (151) this season. He has a .264 batting average.
- Among qualifying hitters in MLB, his batting average ranks 50th, his on-base percentage ranks 24th, and he is third in slugging.
- Rice hopes to build on a three-game hitting streak in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .500 with two doubles, four home runs, three walks and eight RBIs.
- Luis Garcia is batting .277 with 26 doubles, five triples, 30 home runs and 25 walks. He's slugging .521 with an on-base percentage of .309.
- Among qualified hitters, he is 31st in batting average, 108th in on-base percentage and eighth in slugging percentage.
- Cody Bellinger has 131 hits this season and has a slash line of .264/.338/.429.
- Trent Grisham has been key for New York with 88 hits, an OBP of .308 plus a slugging percentage of .395.
Red Sox Player Leaders
- Wilyer Abreu is hitting .248 with 38 doubles, four triples, 24 home runs and 71 walks. He's slugging .446 with an on-base percentage of .327.
- Including all the qualified hitters in the big leagues, he is 84th in batting average, 76th in on-base percentage and 50th in slugging percentage.
- Caleb Durbin is hitting .248 with 25 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 51 walks. He's slugging .378 with an on-base percentage of .332.
- Including all qualified players, he is 84th in batting average, 65th in on-base percentage and 111th in slugging percentage.
- Willson Contreras has totaled 123 hits with a .386 on-base percentage, leading the Red Sox in both statistics.
- Ceddanne Rafaela is slugging .442 to pace his team.
Yankees vs Red Sox Head to Head
- 9/29/2026: 9-0 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -132, Underdog Moneyline: +112)
- 8/30/2026: 16-1 NYY (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
- 8/29/2026: 9-2 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -140, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
- 8/29/2026: 6-0 BOS (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: +100)
- 8/28/2026: 1-0 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +138)
- 6/28/2026: 5-4 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
- 6/27/2026: 4-1 BOS (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
- 6/26/2026: 6-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: +100)
- 6/25/2026: 6-3 BOS (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)
- 6/7/2026: 6-1 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
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