Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for AL Wild Card Game 1 on Sept. 29

Odds updated as of 8:11 p.m.

The New York Yankees versus the Boston Red Sox in Game 1 of the AL Wild Card Series is on the MLB schedule for Tuesday.

Before checking out the MLB betting lines on FanDuel Sportsbook, we've got you covered, in terms of the most important info regarding this game.

Yankees vs Red Sox Game Info

• New York Yankees (93-68) vs. Boston Red Sox (87-75)
• Date: Tuesday, September 29, 2026
• Time: 8 p.m. ET
• Venue: Yankee Stadium -- The Bronx, New York
• Coverage: NBC/Peacock

Yankees vs Red Sox Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: NYY: (-132) | BOS: (+112)
• Spread: NYY: -1.5 (+176) | BOS: +1.5 (-215)
• Total: 6.5 -- Over: (+104) | Under: (-128)

Yankees vs Red Sox Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Cam Schlittler (Yankees) - 14-6, 1.95 ERA vs Payton Tolle (Red Sox) - 9-6, 3.03 ERA

The Yankees will give the nod to Cam Schlittler (14-6, 1.95 ERA) against the Red Sox and Payton Tolle (9-6, 3.03 ERA). Schlittler and his team have a record of 19-13-0 against the spread when he starts. Schlittler's team has won 65.5% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (19-10). When Tolle starts, the Red Sox are 11-14-0 against the spread. The Red Sox are 2-5 in Tolle's seven starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.

Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Yankees win (59.6%)

Yankees vs Red Sox Moneyline

• New York is the favorite, -132 on the moneyline, while Boston is a +112 underdog on the road.

Yankees vs Red Sox Spread

• The Red Sox are +1.5 on the spread (-215 to cover), and New York is +176 to cover the runline.

Yankees vs Red Sox Over/Under

• A total of 6.5 runs has been set for the Yankees-Red Sox contest on Sept. 29, with the over available at +104 and the under at -128.

Bet on New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox on FanDuel today!

Yankees vs Red Sox Betting Trends

• The Yankees have been chosen as favorites in 123 games this year and have walked away with the win 74 times (60.2%) in those games.
• This year New York has won 53 of 89 games when listed as at least -132 on the moneyline.
• The Yankees and their opponents have hit the over in 75 of their 156 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• In 156 games with a line this season, the Yankees have a mark of 81-75-0 against the spread.
• The Red Sox have won 23 of the 47 games they were the moneyline underdog this season (48.9%).
• In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +112 or longer, Boston has a record of 9-16 (36%).
• The Red Sox have played in 159 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 70 times (70-87-2).
• The Red Sox have collected a 75-84-0 record against the spread this season.

Yankees Player Leaders

• Ben Rice has 151 hits and an OBP of .363 to go with a slugging percentage of .534. All three of those stats lead New York hitters this season. He has a .264 batting average, as well.
• Among all qualifying hitters in the majors, he ranks 50th in batting average, 24th in on-base percentage, and third in slugging.
• Rice hopes to build on a two-game hitting streak in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .316 with a double, two home runs, three walks and two RBIs.
• Luis Garcia is batting .277 with 26 doubles, five triples, 30 home runs and 25 walks, while slugging .521 with an on-base percentage of .309.
• Among qualifying hitters, his batting average ranks him 31st, his on-base percentage 108th, and his slugging percentage eighth.
• Garcia brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .167 with two walks and an RBI.
• Cody Bellinger is batting .264 with a .429 slugging percentage and 73 RBI this year.
• Trent Grisham has been key for New York with 88 hits, an OBP of .308 plus a slugging percentage of .395.

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Wilyer Abreu is hitting .248 with 38 doubles, four triples, 24 home runs and 71 walks. He's slugging .446 with an on-base percentage of .327.
• Including all qualifying hitters in MLB, he ranks 84th in batting average, 76th in on-base percentage and 50th in slugging percentage.
• Caleb Durbin is batting .248 with 25 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 51 walks. He's slugging .378 with an on-base percentage of .332.
• Including all qualified players, his batting average puts him 84th, his on-base percentage is 65th, and he is 111th in slugging.
• Willson Contreras has accumulated a team-best OBP (.386), and leads the Red Sox in hits (123).
• Ceddanne Rafaela leads his team with a .442 slugging percentage.

Yankees vs Red Sox Head to Head

• 8/30/2026: 16-1 NYY (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
• 8/29/2026: 9-2 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -140, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
• 8/29/2026: 6-0 BOS (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: +100)
• 8/28/2026: 1-0 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +138)
• 6/28/2026: 5-4 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 6/27/2026: 4-1 BOS (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 6/26/2026: 6-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: +100)
• 6/25/2026: 6-3 BOS (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)
• 6/7/2026: 6-1 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 6/5/2026: 5-3 BOS (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)

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