Yankees vs Rays Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for ALDS Game 3 on Oct. 7

Odds updated as of 7:11 a.m.
The MLB schedule on Wednesday includes the New York Yankees taking on the Tampa Bay Rays for Game 3 of the ALDS.
We've got you covered, in terms of the vital info regarding this game before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Yankees vs Rays Game Info
- New York Yankees (93-68) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (98-64)
- Date: Wednesday, October 7, 2026
- Time: 8 p.m. ET
- Venue: Yankee Stadium -- The Bronx, New York
- Coverage: truTV, TBS, and HBO Max
Yankees vs Rays Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: NYY: (-162) | TB: (+136)
- Spread: NYY: -1.5 (+138) | TB: +1.5 (-166)
- Total: 7.5 -- Over: (+108) | Under: (-132)
Yankees vs Rays Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Max Fried (Yankees) - 5-5, 2.80 ERA vs Nick Martínez (Rays) - 15-6, 3.10 ERA
The probable starters are Max Fried (5-5, 2.80 ERA) for the Yankees and Nick Martinez (15-6, 3.10 ERA) for the Rays. Fried and his team have a record of 11-8-0 against the spread when he starts. When Fried starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 11-7. The Rays have a 19-12-0 record against the spread in Martínez's starts. The Rays are 10-5 in Martínez's 15 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
Yankees vs Rays Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Yankees win (58.9%)
Yankees vs Rays Moneyline
- New York is the favorite, -162 on the moneyline, while Tampa Bay is a +136 underdog on the road.
Yankees vs Rays Spread
- The Yankees are 1.5-run home favorites on the runline against the Rays. The Yankees are +138 to cover, and the Rays are -166.
Yankees vs Rays Over/Under
- Yankees versus Rays on Oct. 7 has an over/under of 7.5 runs, with the odds on the over +108 and the under set at -132.
Bet on New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays on FanDuel today!
Yankees vs Rays Betting Trends
- The Yankees have come away with 76 wins in the 126 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
- This season New York has been victorious 30 times in 45 chances when named as a favorite of at least -162 on the moneyline.
- The Yankees and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 78 of their 160 opportunities.
- The Yankees are 84-76-0 against the spread in their 160 games that had a posted line this season.
- The Rays have compiled a 27-24 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 52.9% of those games).
- When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +136 or longer, Tampa Bay has gone 3-2 (60%).
- The Rays have played in 161 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 76 times (76-83-2).
- The Rays have put together an 85-76-0 record against the spread this season (covering 52.8% of the time).
Yankees Player Leaders
- Ben Rice leads New York in OBP (.363), slugging percentage (.534) and total hits (151) this season. He has a .264 batting average.
- Among the qualifying batters in baseball, his batting average ranks 50th, his on-base percentage ranks 24th, and he is third in slugging.
- Luis Garcia is batting .277 with 26 doubles, five triples, 30 home runs and 25 walks. He's slugging .521 with an on-base percentage of .309.
- Among qualifying batters, his batting average places him 31st, his on-base percentage 107th, and his slugging percentage eighth.
- Cody Bellinger has collected 131 base hits, an OBP of .338 and a slugging percentage of .429 this season.
- Trent Grisham is batting .211 with a .308 OBP and 59 RBI for New York this season.
Rays Player Leaders
- Junior Caminero has accumulated 170 hits, a team-high for the Rays. He's batting .276 and slugging .524 with an on-base percentage of .360.
- Including all the qualified hitters in MLB, his batting average ranks 33rd, his on-base percentage ranks 30th, and he is sixth in slugging.
- Yandy Diaz's .446 slugging percentage leads his team. He has a batting average of .293 with an on-base percentage of .359.
- His batting average is 10th among all qualified players, his on-base percentage is 33rd, and he is 50th in slugging.
- Liam Hicks has racked up an on-base percentage of .367, a team-high for the Rays.
- Chandler Simpson is hitting .306 with 16 doubles, six triples and 26 walks.
Yankees vs Rays Head to Head
- 10/5/2026: 5-2 TB (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
- 10/3/2026: 1-0 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
- 9/24/2026: 6-4 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
- 9/23/2026: 9-2 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
- 9/22/2026: 6-1 TB (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
- 9/22/2026: 2-0 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
- 7/9/2026: 12-4 NYY (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)
- 7/8/2026: 3-0 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: +100)
- 7/7/2026: 6-4 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
- 7/6/2026: 5-1 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
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