Women's World Cup Betting: France Are Colossal Favorites to Advance on Tuesday

Zack Bussiere
Zack Bussiere@ZackBussiere
Women's World Cup Betting: France Are Colossal Favorites to Advance on Tuesday

The first round of the knockout stages will come to a close on Tuesday with the conclusion of the final two Round-of-16 matches.

Featured in these two bouts are the three largest underdogs left in the Women's World Cup -- Colombia, Jamaica, and Morocco -- and one powerhouse: France.

With that in mind, let's take a look at Tuesday's slate.

All World Cup odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook.

Time (Eastern)
4:00 AMColombia (-205)Jamaica (+164)
7:00 AMFrance (-3000)Morocco (+1120)

Colombia vs. Jamaica

Colombia secured their place in the Round of 16 by winning Group H, a group that many expected Germany to win.

They started their campaign win a 2-0 win over South Korea before producing one of the upsets of the tournament with a 2-1 victory over Germany in their second match. They finished the group stages with a narrow 1-0 loss to Morocco, ultimately winning Group H on goal differential.

Colombia finished the group stage with 4 goals scored from 2.6 expected goals (xG) -- per FBRef -- and 2 goals conceded from 3.4 xG allowed. They are running hot on both ends of the pitch. Their 2.6 xG scored is the second-lowest of any team that qualified for the Round of 16, ahead of only Jamaica (1.5 xG), who just so happens to be their opponent in this match.

All eyes will be on 18-year-old breakout star Linda Caicedo in this one. Entering the tournament with lofty expectations, Caicedo has delivered, with two goals, including a possible goal of the tournament against Germany.

Caicedo will need to be at her best to break down a Jamaica side that just kept a clean sheet against an extremely talented Brazil squad.

Jamaica qualified for the Round of 16 by finishing as runners-up in Group F, an incredibly impressive feat that resulted in Brazil's elimination from the tournament.

Jamaica began their World Cup with a surprise 0-0 draw against France before securing a narrow 1-0 victory over Panama in their second match. That set up a difficult test against Brazil in their final group stage fixture, which Jamaica entered needing only a draw to advance. In the face of relentless pressure from the eighth-ranked team in the world, Jamaica held strong, earning a 0-0 draw and booking their place in the knockout stage.

Jamaica's strength in this tournament has been on defense. They are the only team remaining in the tournament that hasn't yet allowed a goal. That feat can be somewhat attributed to variance, as their 4.1 xG allowed ranks just 16th among all teams, but that is still an impressive result given two of their three games came against elite sides in France and Brazil.

On Tuesday, they will face a Colombia side that has far less firepower than France or Brazil. The issue for Jamaica is they have been unable to score goals themselves. Their 1.5 xG ranks 29th this tournament, above only Argentina, the Philippines, and Vietnam. Scoring against France or Brazil is a challenge for anyone, but even in their game against 52nd-ranked Panama, Jamaica produced just 1.0 xG.

If Jamaica can keep Colombia off the scoresheet, they can find a way to win this one with a single goal or advance on penalties. However, if Colombia scores, Jamaica will be forced to chase the game, which may put additional pressure on their defense -- which Colombia can exploit.

As it stands, Colombia are favorites to advance (-205).

France vs. Morocco

Next up on Tuesday is a clash between France (3rd in FIFA's Rankings) and Morocco (77th).

France earned their spot in the Round of 16 by winning Group F.

After a 0-0 draw against Jamaica in their opening match, they defeated Brazil 2-1 in their second match. A 6-3 victory over Panama in their final group stage game clinched France's spot on top of the group.

France has taken care of business to this point in the tournament. They have 8 goals scored from 7.6 xG and 4 goals conceded from 3.3 xG allowed. Their 7.6 xG scored was fifth-best in the group stages, while their 3.3 xG allowed ranked 14th. If there are questions still to be answered for France, it is on the defensive side -- where they allowed 1.6 xG and 1.5 xG against Brazil and Panama, respectively.

Those issues may not cause them problems against Morocco, who are the lowest-ranked side to advance to the Round of 16, but they are something to keep in mind if France wins this match and faces more difficult opponents in the future.

Morocco advanced to the Round of 16 with a second-place finish in Group H.

After being demolished 6-0 by Germany in their opening match, they rebounded to secure back-to-back 1-0 wins against South Korea and Colombia. Their 6-goal defeat against Germany was a harsh result considering they surrendered just 2.4 xG, and their results from that point on were a more fair reflection of their play. They outscored both South Korea (1.4-1.2) and Colombia (1.2-0.6) on xG.

The problem for Morocco is they are facing a powerhouse on Tuesday. France will be by far the strongest opponent Morocco has come up against this tournament, and Les Bleues have had no problems finding the back of the net thus far.

As it stands, France are colossal favorites to advance (-3000) and have the fifth-best odds to win the whole thing (+750).

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.