Warriors vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Dec. 25

Warriors vs. Mavericks Game Info

• Date: Thursday, December 25, 2025
• Time: 5 p.m. ET
• Venue: Chase Center -- San Francisco, California
• Coverage: ABC and ESPN

The Dallas Mavericks (12-19) visit the Golden State Warriors (15-15) after losing four straight road games. The Warriors are favored by 8 points in the contest, which starts at 5 p.m. ET on Thursday, December 25, 2025. The matchup has a point total of 229.5.

Warriors vs. Mavericks Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Warriors vs. Mavericks Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Warriors win (72.6%)

Warriors vs. Mavericks Betting Trends

• The Warriors have put together a record of 13-16-1 against the spread this season.
• The Mavericks have played 31 games, with 14 wins against the spread.
• This season, Warriors games have hit the over 16 times out of 31 chances.
• Mavericks games this year have hit the over on 16 of 31 set point totals (51.6%).
• Golden State has a better record against the spread at home (6-6-1) than it does in road games (7-10-0).
• The Warriors have exceeded the total in a higher percentage of games at home (53.8%) than road games (52.9%).
• Dallas' winning percentage against the spread at home is .500 (9-8-1). Away, it is .385 (5-8-0).
• Looking at the over/under, Mavericks games have gone over less frequently at home (nine of 18, 50%) than on the road (seven of 13, 53.8%).

Warriors Leaders

• Jimmy Butler III averages 19.9 points, 5.5 rebounds and 4.7 assists, shooting 52.3% from the field.
• Stephen Curry's numbers on the season are 28.7 points, 4.2 boards and 4.3 assists per game, shooting 47.3% from the floor and 39.8% from beyond the arc, with an average of 4.9 made treys.
• Brandin Podziemski averages 12.4 points, 4.5 boards and 3.3 assists, shooting 45.5% from the floor and 40% from beyond the arc, with 1.9 made 3-pointers per game.
• Moses Moody is averaging 11.4 points, 1.6 assists and 3.3 rebounds.
• Draymond Green averages 8.1 points, 6.1 boards and 5.1 assists, shooting 40.9% from the field and 32.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.4 made treys per contest.

Mavericks Leaders

• Cooper Flagg is averaging 19.2 points, 6.4 boards and 3.8 assists for the Mavericks.
• The Mavericks are receiving 15.7 points, 7.9 rebounds and 2 assists per game from P.J. Washington.
• The Mavericks are receiving 13.4 points, 4.8 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game from Naji Marshall.
• The Mavericks get 21.7 points per game from Anthony Davis, plus 11.4 rebounds and 3 assists.
• The Mavericks are getting 10.5 points, 2.5 rebounds and 4 assists per game from Brandon Williams.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

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