Warriors vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Dec. 25

Warriors vs. Mavericks Game Info

• Date: Thursday, December 25, 2025
• Time: 5 p.m. ET
• Venue: Chase Center -- San Francisco, California
• Coverage: ABC and ESPN

The Dallas Mavericks (12-19) are underdogs (by 8 points) to end a four-game road losing streak when they visit the Golden State Warriors (15-15) on Thursday, December 25, 2025 at 5 p.m. ET. The point total is 227.5 in the matchup.

Warriors vs. Mavericks Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Warriors vs. Mavericks Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Warriors win (71.7%)

Warriors vs. Mavericks Betting Trends

• The Warriors have gone 13-16-1 against the spread this season.
• In the Mavericks' 31 games this year, they have 14 wins against the spread.
• This season, 16 of the Warriors' games have gone over the point total out of 31 chances.
• Mavericks games this season have gone over the point total 16 times in 31 opportunities (51.6%).
• Golden State has done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (6-6-1) than it has in road affairs (7-10-0).
• The Warriors have gone over the total in seven of 13 home games (53.8%), compared to nine of 17 road games (52.9%).
• Against the spread, Dallas has performed better at home (9-8-1) than on the road (5-8-0).
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Mavericks' games have finished above the over/under at home (50%, nine of 18) compared to away (53.8%, seven of 13).

Warriors Leaders

• Jimmy Butler III averages 19.9 points, 5.5 rebounds and 4.7 assists, shooting 52.3% from the field.
• Stephen Curry averages 28.7 points, 4.2 boards and 4.3 assists.
• Brandin Podziemski is averaging 12.4 points, 3.3 assists and 4.5 boards.
• Moses Moody is averaging 11.4 points, 3.3 boards and 1.6 assists.
• Draymond Green averages 8.1 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5.1 assists, shooting 40.9% from the floor and 32.7% from downtown, with 1.4 made treys per game.

Mavericks Leaders

• Cooper Flagg averages 19.2 points for the Mavericks, plus 6.4 rebounds and 3.8 assists.
• P.J. Washington's numbers on the season are 15.7 points, 7.9 rebounds and 2 assists per contest. He is sinking 45.5% of his shots from the floor and 33.9% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.5 triples.
• The Mavericks get 13.4 points per game from Naji Marshall, plus 4.8 boards and 2.6 assists.
• Anthony Davis averages 21.7 points, 11.4 boards and 3 assists. He is sinking 52.5% of his shots from the floor.
• Brandon Williams averages 10.5 points, 2.5 boards and 4 assists. He is sinking 39.6% of his shots from the floor.

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