Golf

The Memorial Tournament: Betting Picks and Key Stats

Zack Bussiere
Zack Bussiere@ZackBussiere
The Memorial Tournament: Betting Picks and Key Stats

Robert MacIntyre earned the first PGA title of his career with his father on the bag at the RBC Canadian Open on Sunday.

Now, the PGA Tour heads to Dublin, Ohio for the Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village Golf Club -- the seventh signature event of the season.

The event will feature a 36-hole cut for the top 50 (plus ties) and any player within 10 shots of the lead.

How should you bet this week's tournament?

Here's all you need to know.

All golf odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

Muirfield Village Golf Club Course Info

All course data from GCSAA unless otherwise noted.

  • Par: 72
  • Distance: 7,569 yards (around 269 yards longer than an average Par 72)
  • Average Fairway Width: 33.9 yards (51st of 86 courses)
  • Average Green Size: 5,000 square feet (small)
  • Green Type: Bentgrass
  • Stimpmeter: N/A
  • Recent Winning Scores: -7, -13, -13, -9, -19
  • Recent Cut Lines: +3, +2, +2, +3, +1

Muirfield Village Golf Club Key Stats

The Memorial Tournament Betting Picks

These picks stand out relative to their FanDuel Sportsbook golf betting odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. All stats cited below originate at datagolf and reference ranks relative to the field over the past 50 rounds unless otherwise noted.

Xander Schauffele

Since THE PLAYERS Championship in March, Xander Schauffele has lost strokes in a category only once in six events -- a mark of -0.75 strokes gained: around the green at the RBC Heritage. He hasn't lost strokes putting since early February and has lost strokes on approach, around the green, and off the tee only once each in 12 events. Looking at total strokes gained, his +2.52 mark is second to only Scottie Scheffler -- who sits at an absolutely absurd +3.39 -- and is at least a half-stroke better than every other golfer in the field besides Rory McIlroy (+2.18) and Ludvig Aberg (+2.09).

Muirfield is a difficult test for the world's best, and it's brutal rough -- third-highest penalty on drives that land in the rough and the fifth-highest difficulty in around-the-green shots from the rough, per datagolf -- places a premium on approach play, accuracy off the tee, and play around the greens. Outside of Scheffler, Schauffele is the only golfer in the field who ranks inside the top 10 in strokes gained: approach (fourth), strokes gained: off the tee (fourth), and strokes gained: around the green (eighth). If you add in strokes gained: putting (seventh) Schauffele is the only golfer in the field who ranks inside the top 10 in every strokes gained category.

Collin Morikawa

Collin Morikawa has everything needed to succeed at Muirfield. He is seventh in the field in strokes gained: around the greens and has gained strokes around the greens in six of his last seven events. He is second in the field in driving accuracy and is coming off an excellent performance off the tee at the Charles Schwab Challenge (+1.00 strokes gained: off the tee per round). He has hit at least 12% more fairways than the field in each of his last five events. He is 31st in the field in strokes gained approach, but that part of his game is trending in the right direction -- +0.91 and +1.08 strokes gained: approach per round in his last two events -- and has been a strength throughout his career.

Since The Masters, he has been in excellent form, registering four top-10 finishes, including three top fives in his last five events -- his worst finish was a T16 at the Wells Fargo Championship. Morikawa has datagolf's best course fit this week and has played well here in the past with a win in 2020 and second place in 2021. In his five events at Muirfield, he has hit at least 10% more fairways than the field and is averaging +1.72 strokes gained: approach per round.

Russell Henley

Since the start of the Florida swing in March, Russell Henley has finished T12 or better in four of eight events, including a T4 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and a solo fourth at the Valero Texas Open. He is coming off a T23 finish at the PGA Championship and is tied for datagolf's second-best course fit this week. Henley is 68th in the field in driving distance but seventh in accuracy. He is 21st in the field in strokes gained: approach, ninth in strokes gained: around the green, and eighth in total strokes gained.

All those parts of his game have been in good form recently. Over his last 20 rounds, he is averaging +1.02 strokes gained: approach per round, sixth in the field, and +0.57 strokes gained: around the green per round, ninth in the field. His putting has been good, as well, with strokes gained with the flat stick in eight of his last nine events. What you need to succeed at Muirfield is what Henley has been excelling at since April. He finished T16 at this event last year.

Sepp Straka

We're looking for exceptional approach play this week, and since The Masters, that is exactly what Sepp Straka has produced. Over his last five events he is averaging +1.32 stokes gained: approach per round -- with at least +1.01 strokes gained: approach in each event. Straka is 18th in the field in strokes gained: approach over his last 50 rounds, but over the last 20 rounds, he is fourth. In his last six events, he has five top-16 finishes, including three top 10s and two T5s.

The concern for Straka is his putting (47th in the field) and his play around the greens (50th in the field). That combination caused him to miss the cut at the PGA Championship despite gaining +1.70 strokes on approach per round. He's struggling with the flat stick in 2024 (+0.02 strokes gained: putting per round), but that is the lowest mark of his career and he has had solid weeks recently -- +0.84 strokes gained per round (Wells Fargo Championship) and +1.10 strokes gained per round (RBC Heritage). His driving accuracy -- fifth in the field -- should help him avoid the rough off the tee and keep his approach play on track, mitigating his struggles around the green. He finished T16 here last year while losing -0.82 strokes around the green per round.

Keegan Bradley

Keegan Bradley comes into the Memorial Tournament in good form after a T2 finish in his most recent event, the Charles Schwab Challenge. Since missing back-to-back cuts in March, Bradley has four top-22 finishes in five events and has gained at least +0.77 strokes on approach in four of them. He is 12th in the field this week in strokes gained: approach and 22nd in strokes gained: tee to green.

His play off the tee has been exceptional recently. His last two events (+1.49 and +1.74 strokes gained per round off the tee) are his best performances off the tee across his last 25 events and are some of the best marks of his career. He's struggled with the flat stick this season (-0.17 strokes gained: putting per round) but is coming off an excellent week at the Charles Schwab Challenge (+1.13 strokes gained: putting per round). He has had spike weeks putting before and has putted very well at this course recently -- +1.48 strokes gained: putting (2023) and +0.89 strokes gained: putting (2022).


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.