NFL

The Case for the San Francisco 49ers to Win Super Bowl LVIII

Skyler Carlin
Skyler Carlin@skyler_carlin
The Case for the San Francisco 49ers to Win Super Bowl LVIII

When discussing the most complete teams in the NFL, the San Francisco 49ers are undoubtedly a team worth mentioning. The 49ers have secured the No. 1 seed in the NFC and will have home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. Even with another fantastic finish in the regular season, the 49ers have their sights on winning their first Super Bowl since 1994.

In recent years, the 49ers have become a juggernaut in the league. At the same time, they continue to fall short in the playoffs due to injuries and other factors. Things could be different for Kyle Shanahan and company this year as he has seemingly put it all together offensively with Brock Purdy under center.

With the 49ers capable of winning in a variety of ways, it's tough to imagine many teams beating them in a playoff setting. Could a Super Bowl victory be in the cards for the 49ers? Let's take a look at San Francisco's case to win Super Bowl LVIII.

San Francisco 49ers Super Bowl Odds

All NFL odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published.

  • +210 to win Super Bowl LVIII (best)
  • Super Bowl win probability, per numberFire: 33.4% (best)

San Francisco 49ers Conference Championship Odds

  • -120 (best)

San Francisco 49ers Statistical Recap and Analysis

Data and stats via numberFire's schedule-adjusted nERD rankings.

San Francisco 49ers

  • Offensive Rankings
    • Rushing: 4th
    • Passing: 1st
    • Overall: 1st
  • Defensive Rankings
    • Rushing: 17th
    • Passing: 4th
    • Overall: 5th

Why the 49ers Could Win It All

Not much needs to be said on why the 49ers could be hoisting the Lombardi Trophy. The 49ers advanced to the NFC Championship a season ago only for Jimmy Garoppolo and Purdy to suffer injuries down the stretch.

Purdy underwent elbow surgery in the offseason, and he's played well enough this season to warrant love within the NFL MVP odds market. The second-year signal-caller has been a seamless fit in Shanahan's offense, producing a league-best 0.24 expected points added per dropback (EPA/DB) and a 56.4% passing success rate.

We've seen the 49ers have an electric offense before, but Purdy's performance at quarterback has elevated the offense to an astronomical level. It also doesn't hurt that Purdy is surrounded by the best arsenal of weapons on the offensive side of the ball.

Not many teams can say they have players like Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, and George Kittle to deploy on offense. Entering Week 18, McCaffrey leads the league in rushing yards over expected (RYOE) with 349 while Samuel is the ultimate Swiss Army knife at wide receiver.

Besides a historically efficient offense, the 49ers boast a formidable defense, led by Nick Bosa and Chase Young off of the edges. Bosa is recording a solid 18% pass-rush win rate despite being double-teamed at a 26% rate (third-highest among edge rushers), per ESPN.

In the middle of their defense, Fred Warner is regarded as the best inside linebacker in the NFL. Charvarius Ward has also solidified himself as a premier cornerback this season with five interceptions (tied for fourth-most) and a league-leading 23 pass breakups.

Why the 49ers Might Fall Short

Injuries have been an unfortunate theme for the 49ers in recent postseason runs. To illustrate how dire the situation got, the 49ers were forced to have McCaffrey throwing passes in last year's NFC Championship defeat to the Philadelphia Eagles because they were plagued with injuries at the quarterback position.

Amid San Francisco's dominance this season, we've witnessed the offense suffer a few hiccups whenever one of its premier contributors is sidelined. Samuel and Trent Williams have missed some time, which led to Purdy having some of his worst outings of the season.

While Purdy has been nearly flawless at times, there are other moments where his aggressiveness has been costly. The former Mr. Irrelevant has three games this season where he's thrown multiple interceptions, including a four-interception showing in the 33-19 loss to the Baltimore Ravens in Week 16.

Being able to remain healthy -- similar to every other team -- and Purdy avoiding detrimental mistakes are crucial for the 49ers in their quest to be dubbed Super Bowl champions.

Final Verdict

The 49ers are the favorites to win the Super Bowl this season, and it's tough to ignore why many feel confident in them representing the NFC. The Eagles are experiencing a rough patch, the Dallas Cowboys have struggled on the road, and the Detroit Lions have flashed inconsistencies on both sides of the ball.

With a 5-2 record at home and a 7-2 record on the road entering Week 18, the 49ers have proven they can win in any environment. It's tough to poke many holes in San Francisco's case to win its sixth Super Bowl in franchise history.

Taking the 49ers at +210 odds to win it all has solid value considering they'll be playing within the confines of Levi's Stadium until the Super Bowl. One of the only concerns with the 49ers is avoiding the injury bug throughout the postseason.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.