NCAAB

San Diego State vs New Mexico Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - MWC Tournament Championship

Data Skrive
Data Skrive
San Diego State vs New Mexico Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - MWC Tournament Championship

The MWC champion will be named on Saturday when the No. 5 seed San Diego State Aztecs (24-9, 11-7 MWC) and the No. 6 New Mexico Lobos (25-9, 10-8 MWC) meet at 6:00 PM ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

San Diego State vs. New Mexico Game Info and Odds

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 16, 2024
  • Game Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Arena: Thomas & Mack Center

San Diego State vs. New Mexico Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: San Diego State win (56.2%)

Before placing a wager on Saturday's San Diego State-New Mexico spread (San Diego State -2.5) or over/under (142.5 points), take a look at the betting insights and trends below.

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San Diego State vs. New Mexico: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • San Diego State has compiled a 13-18-0 ATS record so far this year.
  • New Mexico is 22-11-0 ATS this year.
  • San Diego State (11-12) covers a higher percentage of games when it is favored by 2.5 points or more this season (47.8%) than New Mexico (1-4) does as a 2.5+-point underdog (20%).
  • The Aztecs have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered eight times in 13 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered three times in 13 opportunities in road games.
  • In 2023-24 against the spread, the Lobos have a better winning percentage at home (.667, 10-5-0 record) than on the road (.455, 5-6-0).
  • Against the spread, in conference games, San Diego State is 9-11-0 this year.
  • New Mexico has 13 wins against the spread in 21 MWC games this year.

San Diego State vs. New Mexico: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • San Diego State has won in 20, or 83.3%, of the 24 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
  • The Aztecs have a mark of 20-3 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -126 or better on the moneyline.
  • New Mexico has won 28.6% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (2-5).
  • When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +105 or longer, the Lobos have a 1-5 record (winning just 16.7% of their games).
  • San Diego State has an implied victory probability of 55.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

San Diego State vs. New Mexico Head-to-Head Comparison

  • San Diego State outscores opponents by 8.5 points per game (scoring 75 per game to rank 133rd in college basketball while allowing 66.5 per contest to rank 33rd in college basketball) and has a +280 scoring differential overall.
  • Jaedon LeDee's team-leading 21 points per game ranks 19th in college basketball.
  • New Mexico has a +385 scoring differential, topping opponents by 11.3 points per game. It is putting up 82.1 points per game, 18th in college basketball, and is giving up 70.8 per outing to rank 140th in college basketball.
  • Jaelen House is ranked 212th in college basketball with a team-leading 15.7 points per game.
  • The Aztecs rank 58th in college basketball at 38.1 rebounds per game. That's 4.9 more than the 33.2 their opponents average.
  • LeDee is 58th in college basketball action with 8.5 rebounds per game to lead the Aztecs.
  • The 39.6 rebounds per game the Lobos accumulate rank 22nd in the nation, 4.4 more than the 35.2 their opponents record.
  • JT Toppin tops the Lobos with nine rebounds per game (46th in college basketball).
  • San Diego State ranks 132nd in college basketball with 97.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 23rd in college basketball defensively with 86.3 points conceded per 100 possessions.
  • The Lobos rank 64th in college basketball with 100 points scored per 100 possessions, and 20th defensively with 86.2 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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