Rocket Mortgage Classic: Betting Picks and Key Stats

Zack Bussiere
Zack Bussiere@ZackBussiere
Rocket Mortgage Classic: Betting Picks and Key Stats

Another week, another Scottie Scheffler win, this time in dramatic fashion in a playoff against Tom Kim at the Travelers Championship.

With the final signature event of the season now in the rearview mirror, the PGA Tour heads to Michigan for the Rocket Mortgage Classic at Detroit Golf Club.

How should you bet this week's event?

Here's all you need to know.

All golf odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

Rocket Mortgage Classic Info

  • Recent Winning Scores: -24, -26, -18, -23, -25
  • Recent Cut Lines: -4, -3, -3, -5, -5

Detroit Golf Club Course Info

All course data from GCSAA unless otherwise noted.

  • Par: 72
  • Distance: 7,370 yards (70 yards longer than an average Par 72)
  • Average Fairway Width: 35.7 yards (64th of 86 courses)*
  • Average Green Size: 5,150 (small)
  • Green Type: Bentgrass/Poa Mix
  • Stimpmeter: N/A

*GCSAA Course Notes list average fairway widths at 30 yards

Detroit Golf Club Key Stats

Rocket Mortgage Classic Betting Picks

These picks stand out relative to their FanDuel Sportsbook golf betting odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. All stats cited below originate at datagolf and reference ranks relative to the field over the past 50 rounds unless otherwise noted.

Alex Noren

Alex Noren is coming off a missed cut at the U.S. Open, his second missed cut in his last three events and his only two missed cuts of the season. Noren is having an extremely consistent 2024 with 11 finishes of T26 or better -- including two top-10 finishes -- in 15 starts.

He is 15th in the field in strokes gained: approach, 31st in strokes gained: putting, and tied for first in total strokes gained. His lack of distance, 112th in the field, won't hurt him as much this week. Noren's approach game this season has been best from over 200 yards, where he is in the 77th percentile in proximity, per data golf's approach skill tool. He is slightly above the tour average in both Birdie or Better Rate and Par 5 Birdie or Better Rate.

Noren finished T9 (2023) and T4 (2021) in his last two appearances here.

Maverick McNealy

Maverick McNealy has finished T23 (PGA Championship), T17 (Charles Schwab Challenge), and T7 (RBC Canadian Open) in his last three starts. He is tied for first in the field in total strokes gained, is 11th in strokes gained: off the tee, and 28th in strokes gained: putting.

McNealy is 21st on tour in Birdie or Better Rate and 17th in Par 5 Birdie or Better Rate. His approach play is a concern (72nd), but it has been trending in the right direction recently. After losing strokes on approach in eight of his first nine events in 2024, he has gained strokes on approach in four of his last five. Over the last three months, he is 34th in the field in strokes gained: approach.

McNealy missed the cut here last season but finished T21 in 2021 and T8 in 2020. Across those three events, he averaged +0.93 strokes gained: putting per round. If his improved approach play continues, he has the skill with the flat stick to post a low number this week.

Aaron Rai

Aaron Rai's tee-to-green game has been in excellent form in his five events since early May. He has gained strokes on approach and off the tee in each of those five events resulting in three top-20 finishes, including a T19 at the U.S. Open and a T4 at THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson.

Rai lacks distance off the tee (129th), but he is the most accurate driver in the field. He is in the 68th percentile or higher in proximity from every approach range above 100 yards. He is 91st on tour in Birdie or Better Rate and 50th in Par 5 Birdie or Better Rate.

Rai's putting is the question mark. He is 92nd in the field in strokes gained: putting but is coming off a solid week (+0.75 strokes gained: putting per round) on extremely difficult greens at Pinehurst No. 2. In his debut appearance at this course last year, he gained +0.51 strokes putting per round on his way to a T9 finish.

Davis Thompson

Davis Thompson is coming off a T9 finish at the U.S. Open thanks to some excellent play on (+0.59 strokes gained: putting) and around (+1.87 strokes gained: around the greens) the greens.

He is eighth in the field in total strokes gained, 39th on tour in Birdie or Better Rate and 50th in Par 5 Birdie or Better Rate. Putting is a concern, but Thompson has made improvements with the flat stick this season, as his +0.03 strokes gained: putting average is the best of his career.

Lee Hodges

Lee Hodges enters this week coming off a T31 finish at the Travelers Championship where his approach play was excellent (+1.02 strokes gained: approach per round), but he struggled on the greens (-0.26 strokes gained: putting per round). It was Hodges' first time losing strokes with the flat stick since the RBC Heritage in April.

The approach play was a continuation of solid form that has seen Hodges gain strokes on approach in his last six individual events -- he is fourth in the field in strokes gained: approach. On approach shots from over 200 yards, he is in the 82nd percentile in proximity and strokes gained per shot.

Hodges missed the cut here last season while losing 1.01 shots on approach per round. This season, he is averaging a career-best +0.56 strokes gained: approach, up 0.36 strokes from 2022. He is 15th in the field in total strokes gained.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.