Riley Greene Home Run Prop Bet: Best MLB Daily Dinger Pick and Odds for May 20, 2026

Daily Dinger Home Run Pick

• Riley Greene (+490)

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For today, who should you pick to hit a home run?

MLB odds via FanDuel Sportsbook and may change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise.

Daily Dinger Home Run Pick Today for FanDuel

Riley Greene to Hit a Home Run (+490)

Guardians at Tigers, 6:41 p.m. ET

Tanner Bibee is a better pitcher than the type of hurlers I usually like to pick on, but some of Bibee's numbers put me on Riley Greene today.

The right-handed Bibee has a 4.23 SIERA and 21.2% strikeout rate this season -- both of which are career-worst marks. Lefties have been a huge issue for him as Bibee has permitted 1.61 homers per nine and a 43.2% fly-ball rate in the split.

Enter Greene.

The Detroit Tigers' outfielder is having the best year of his career, which is saying something after his 36-homer season in 2025. So far in 2026, Greene owns a .413 wOBA and 13.8% walk rate, a pair of career-high numbers. While Greene has hit only four long-balls, that's mostly due to a lowly 9.5% home-run-to-fly-ball rate, which is well off his 17.5% career mark. In short, he's due to hit more jacks.

The wind is blowing out to right today in Detroit, and I like this matchup for Greene.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does +210 mean on an MLB home run prop bet?

A +210 line means a $100 bet returns $210 in profit if the player homers. You can bet any amount — a $10 bet at +210 returns $21 in profit. The number reflects the implied probability the sportsbook assigns to the event (roughly 32% for +210 odds).

What happens to my FanDuel HR prop if the player doesn't start?

FanDuel's policy is that a HR prop bet will not be voided if the player records at least one at-bat — even as a pinch hitter. If they don't get any at-bat, the bet is typically voided. Always check FanDuel's official terms before placing your wager.

Can I parlay home run props together on FanDuel?

Yes. FanDuel allows you to parlay multiple HR props as a standard parlay or as part of a Same Game Parlay (SGP) within a single game. All legs must win for the parlay to pay out.

What factors matter most when betting MLB home run props?

Some of the most important factors are: the hitter's recent HR rate and raw power profile, the opposing pitcher's home run rate allowed, ballpark dimensions and park factors, wind direction and game-time temperature, and batter-vs-pitcher handedness splits.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.