Red Sox vs Twins Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 23

Odds updated as of 1:12 a.m.

The Saturday slate in MLB includes a matchup between the Boston Red Sox and the Minnesota Twins.

All the info you need to make smart wagers on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook can be found below. Check out all of the latest MLB betting lines here.

Red Sox vs Twins Game Info

• Boston Red Sox (22-28) vs. Minnesota Twins (24-27)
• Date: Saturday, May 23, 2026
• Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Fenway Park -- Boston, Massachusetts
• Coverage: NESN and Twins.TV

Red Sox vs Twins Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: BOS: (-112) | MIN: (-104)
• Spread: BOS: +1.5 (-200) | MIN: -1.5 (+164)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Red Sox vs Twins Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Jovani Moran (Red Sox) - 0-1, 2.81 ERA vs Taj Bradley (Twins) - 4-1, 2.87 ERA

The probable starters are Jovani Moran (0-1) for the Red Sox and Taj Bradley (4-1) for the Twins. Moran has a record of 2-0-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season. This will be Moran's first start this season with his team as the moneyline favorite. The Twins have gone 5-3-0 ATS in Bradley's eight starts with a set spread. The Twins are 4-2 in Bradley's six starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.

Red Sox vs Twins Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Red Sox win (55%)

Red Sox vs Twins Moneyline

• Minnesota is the underdog, -104 on the moneyline, while Boston is a -112 favorite at home.

Red Sox vs Twins Spread

• The Twins are 1.5-run favorites against the spread for this matchup with the Red Sox. The Twins are +164 to cover, while the Red Sox are -200 to cover as a 1.5-run underdog on the runline.

Red Sox vs Twins Over/Under

• The Red Sox-Twins contest on May 23 has been given an over/under of 8.5 runs. The over is set at -110 and the under at -110.

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Red Sox vs Twins Betting Trends

• The Red Sox have been victorious in 15, or 46.9%, of the 32 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
• This season Boston has been victorious 15 times in 32 chances when named as a favorite of at least -112 on the moneyline.
• Contests with the Red Sox have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 22 of 50 chances this season.
• The Red Sox have an against the spread mark of 20-30-0 in 50 games with a line this season.
• The Twins have gone 15-18 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 45.5% of those games).
• When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -104 or longer, Minnesota has a 15-16 record (winning 48.4% of its games).
• The Twins have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 30 times this season for a 30-19-1 record against the over/under.
• The Twins have covered 54% of their games this season, going 27-23-0 ATS.

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Wilyer Abreu leads Boston in slugging percentage (.442) thanks to 15 extra-base hits. He has a .295 batting average and an on-base percentage of .360.
• He ranks 18th in batting average, 40th in on-base percentage, and 56th in slugging among qualifying hitters in baseball.
• Abreu hopes to build on a three-game hitting streak in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .208 with a double and an RBI.
• Willson Contreras leads Boston with 46 hits and an OBP of .366 this season. He's batting .269 and slugging .503.
• Among qualified hitters, he is 52nd in batting average, 33rd in on-base percentage and 22nd in slugging percentage.
• Contreras brings a six-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last 10 outings he is batting .306 with two doubles, two triples, two home runs and eight RBIs.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has 45 hits this season and has a slash line of .280/.348/.429.
• Jarren Duran is batting .191 with a .264 OBP and 25 RBI for Boston this season.

Twins Player Leaders

• Byron Buxton has an on-base percentage of .322, a slugging percentage of .588, and has 48 hits, all club-highs for the Twins (while batting .264).
• Including all the qualified hitters in the big leagues, his batting average ranks 64th, his on-base percentage is 94th, and he is fifth in slugging.
• Luke Keaschall is hitting .233 with eight doubles, a triple, a home run and 19 walks. He's slugging .307 with an on-base percentage of .318.
• He is currently 114th in batting average, 102nd in on-base percentage and 159th in slugging percentage among all qualified hitters.
• Brooks Lee has six doubles, a triple, five home runs and 12 walks while hitting .243.
• Josh Bell is batting .232 with eight doubles, five home runs and 15 walks.

Red Sox vs Twins Head to Head

• 5/22/2026: 8-6 MIN (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)
• 4/15/2026: 9-5 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 4/14/2026: 6-0 MIN (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
• 4/13/2026: 13-6 MIN (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -172, Underdog Moneyline: +144)
• 7/30/2025: 13-1 BOS (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 7/29/2025: 8-5 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 7/28/2025: 5-4 MIN (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
• 5/4/2025: 5-4 MIN (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -198, Underdog Moneyline: +166)
• 5/3/2025: 4-3 MIN (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 5/2/2025: 6-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)

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