Red Sox vs Royals Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for Sept. 11

Odds updated as of 1:12 a.m.

The Boston Red Sox will face the Kansas City Royals in MLB action on Friday.

Before checking out the MLB betting lines on FanDuel Sportsbook, we've got you covered, in terms of the vital info regarding this game.

Red Sox vs Royals Game Info

• Boston Red Sox (80-67) vs. Kansas City Royals (65-82)
• Date: Friday, September 11, 2026
• Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Fenway Park -- Boston, Massachusetts
• Coverage: NESN and Royals.TV

Red Sox vs Royals Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: BOS: (-198) | KC: (+166)
• Spread: BOS: -1.5 (+112) | KC: +1.5 (-134)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-114) | Under: (-106)

Red Sox vs Royals Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Sonny Gray (Red Sox) - 17-4, 2.69 ERA vs Seth Lugo (Royals) - 6-8, 5.04 ERA

The Red Sox will call on Sonny Gray (17-4) against the Royals and Seth Lugo (6-8). Gray and his team are 17-8-0 ATS this season when he starts. Gray's team has won 68.2% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (15-7). The Royals have a 16-13-0 record against the spread in Lugo's starts. The Royals have been the moneyline underdog in 20 of Lugo's starts this season, and they went 9-11 in those matchups.

Red Sox vs Royals Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Red Sox win (66.6%)

Red Sox vs Royals Moneyline

• Looking at the moneyline for Red Sox-Royals, Boston is the favorite at -198, and Kansas City is +166 playing on the road.

Red Sox vs Royals Spread

• The Royals are +1.5 on the run line against the Red Sox. The Royals are -134 to cover, and the Red Sox are +112.

Red Sox vs Royals Over/Under

• Red Sox versus Royals on Sept. 11 has an over/under of 8.5 runs, with the odds on the over -114 and the under set at -106.

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Red Sox vs Royals Betting Trends

• The Red Sox have come away with 56 wins in the 103 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
• Boston has a record of 3-3 in contests when bookmakers favor them by -198 or more on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox and their opponents have hit the over in 67 of their 145 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Red Sox are 69-76-0 against the spread in their 145 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Royals are 36-54 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 40% of those games).
• Kansas City has a 1-6 record (winning only 14.3% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of +166 or longer.
• The Royals have played in 141 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 65 times (65-73-3).
• The Royals have a 73-68-0 record ATS this season (covering 51.8% of the time).

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Wilyer Abreu is hitting .256 with 34 doubles, four triples, 24 home runs and 67 walks. He has an on-base percentage of .337 and a slugging percentage of .465.
• Among all qualified hitters in the majors, his batting average ranks 67th, his on-base percentage ranks 56th, and he is 36th in slugging.
• Abreu will look for his third straight game with a hit in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .188 with a home run, five walks and an RBI.
• Caleb Durbin is batting .248 with 23 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 45 walks, while slugging .379 with an on-base percentage of .328.
• His batting average is 81st among qualified players, his on-base percentage 70th, and his slugging percentage 111th.
• Jarren Duran is batting .207 with a .367 slugging percentage and 69 RBI this year.
• Duran brings a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .278 with a double, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
• Adley Rutschman has 12 home runs, 56 RBI and a batting average of .237 this season.
• Rutschman enters this game on a two-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is hitting .200 with a double, three home runs and five RBIs.

Royals Player Leaders

• Bobby Witt Jr. has racked up a team-high OBP (.360) and slugging percentage (.454). He's batting .282.
• Including all qualified hitters, he is 20th in batting average, while his on-base percentage ranks 29th and he is 42nd in slugging.
• Jac Caglianone's 134 hits pace his team. He has a batting average of .283 while slugging .494 with an on-base percentage of .331.
• He is currently 17th in batting average, 66th in on-base percentage and 16th in slugging percentage among all qualifying hitters.
• Carter Jensen is batting .229 with 29 doubles, two triples, 23 home runs and 62 walks.
• Salvador Perez is batting .228 with 23 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 22 walks.

Red Sox vs Royals Head to Head

• 5/20/2026: 4-3 BOS (Favorite: Royals, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 5/19/2026: 7-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 5/18/2026: 3-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 8/6/2025: 7-3 KC (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 8/5/2025: 6-2 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -250, Underdog Moneyline: +205)
• 8/4/2025: 8-5 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -162, Underdog Moneyline: +136)
• 5/11/2025: 3-1 BOS (Favorite: Royals, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 5/10/2025: 10-1 BOS (Favorite: Royals, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 5/9/2025: 2-1 KC (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
• 8/7/2024: 8-4 KC (Favorite: Royals, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)

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