Red Sox vs Royals Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for Sept. 11

Odds updated as of 6:12 p.m.

In MLB action on Friday, the Boston Red Sox play the Kansas City Royals.

Before checking out the MLB betting lines on FanDuel Sportsbook, we've got you covered, in terms of the most important information regarding this game.

Red Sox vs Royals Game Info

• Boston Red Sox (80-67) vs. Kansas City Royals (65-82)
• Date: Friday, September 11, 2026
• Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Fenway Park -- Boston, Massachusetts
• Coverage: NESN and Royals.TV

Red Sox vs Royals Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: BOS: (-200) | KC: (+168)
• Spread: BOS: -1.5 (+102) | KC: +1.5 (-122)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)

Red Sox vs Royals Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Sonny Gray (Red Sox) - 17-4, 2.69 ERA vs Seth Lugo (Royals) - 6-8, 5.04 ERA

The Red Sox will give the ball to Sonny Gray (17-4, 2.69 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 18 on the season, and the Royals will counter with Seth Lugo (6-8, 5.04 ERA). Gray's team is 17-8-0 against the spread this season in his starts. Gray's team has been victorious in 68.2% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 15-7. The Royals have gone 16-13-0 against the spread when Lugo starts. The Royals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 20 of Lugo's starts this season, and they went 9-11 in those games.

Red Sox vs Royals Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Red Sox win (66.3%)

Red Sox vs Royals Moneyline

• Looking at the moneyline for Red Sox-Royals, Boston is the favorite at -200, and Kansas City is +168 playing on the road.

Red Sox vs Royals Spread

• The Red Sox are hosting the Royals and are favored by 1.5 runs (+102 to cover) on the runline. Kansas City is -122 to cover.

Red Sox vs Royals Over/Under

• The Red Sox-Royals contest on Sept. 11 has been given an over/under of 8.5 runs. The over is set at -105 and the under at -115.

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Red Sox vs Royals Betting Trends

• The Red Sox have been chosen as favorites in 103 games this year and have walked away with the win 56 times (54.4%) in those games.
• Boston has a record of 3-3 in contests when bookmakers favor them by -200 or more on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox's games have gone over the total in 67 of their 145 opportunities.
• The Red Sox have an against the spread record of 69-76-0 in 145 games with a line this season.
• The Royals have compiled a 36-54 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 40% of those games).
• Kansas City has a record of 1-5 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +168 or longer (16.7%).
• The Royals have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 65 times this season for a 65-73-3 record against the over/under.
• The Royals are 73-68-0 ATS this season.

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Wilyer Abreu is batting .256 with 34 doubles, four triples, 24 home runs and 67 walks. He has an on-base percentage of .337 while slugging .465.
• Among all qualifying hitters in MLB, his batting average ranks 67th, his on-base percentage ranks 56th, and he is 36th in slugging.
• Abreu hopes to build on a two-game hitting streak in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .188 with a home run, five walks and an RBI.
• Caleb Durbin is batting .248 with 23 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 45 walks. He's slugging .379 with an on-base percentage of .328.
• His batting average ranks 81st among qualified players, his on-base percentage 70th, and his slugging percentage 111th.
• Jarren Duran is batting .207 with a .367 slugging percentage and 69 RBI this year.
• Duran has recorded at least one base hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with a double, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
• Adley Rutschman has been key for Boston with 75 hits, an OBP of .315 plus a slugging percentage of .424.
• Rutschman has safely hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .200 with a double, three home runs and five RBIs.

Royals Player Leaders

• Bobby Witt Jr. has a .360 on-base percentage and a .454 slugging percentage, both team-best numbers for the Royals. He's batting .282.
• Including all qualified players in the majors, he is 20th in batting average, 28th in on-base percentage and 42nd in slugging percentage.
• Jac Caglianone has racked up 134 hits to pace his team. He has a batting average of .283 while slugging .494 with an on-base percentage of .331.
• He is currently 17th in batting average, 66th in on-base percentage and 16th in slugging percentage among all qualified hitters.
• Carter Jensen is hitting .229 with 29 doubles, two triples, 23 home runs and 62 walks.
• Salvador Perez is batting .228 with 23 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 22 walks.

Red Sox vs Royals Head to Head

• 5/20/2026: 4-3 BOS (Favorite: Royals, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 5/19/2026: 7-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 5/18/2026: 3-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 8/6/2025: 7-3 KC (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 8/5/2025: 6-2 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -250, Underdog Moneyline: +205)
• 8/4/2025: 8-5 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -162, Underdog Moneyline: +136)
• 5/11/2025: 3-1 BOS (Favorite: Royals, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 5/10/2025: 10-1 BOS (Favorite: Royals, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 5/9/2025: 2-1 KC (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
• 8/7/2024: 8-4 KC (Favorite: Royals, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)

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