Rays vs Guardians Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for ALCS Game 1 on Oct. 12

Odds updated as of 7:12 a.m.

The Monday schedule in the MLB includes a matchup between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Cleveland Guardians in Game 1 of the ALCS.

We've got you covered, in terms of the most important info about this game before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Rays vs Guardians Game Info

• Tampa Bay Rays (98-64) vs. Cleveland Guardians (85-77)
• Date: Monday, October 12, 2026
• Time: 8 p.m. ET
• Venue: Tropicana Field -- St. Petersburg, Florida
• Coverage: TBS, truTV, and HBO Max

Rays vs Guardians Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: TB: (-164) | CLE: (+138)
• Spread: TB: -1.5 (+136) | CLE: +1.5 (-164)
• Total: 6.5 -- Over: (-128) | Under: (+104)

Rays vs Guardians Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Drew Rasmussen (Rays) - 16-5, 2.67 ERA vs Foster Griffin (Guardians) - 15-6, 3.60 ERA

The probable starters are Drew Rasmussen (16-5, 2.67 ERA) for the Rays and Foster Griffin (15-6, 3.60 ERA) for the Guardians. Rasmussen and his team have a record of 16-14-0 against the spread when he starts. Rasmussen's team has been victorious in 78.9% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 15-4. The Guardians are 18-11-0 ATS in Griffin's 29 starts with a set spread. The Guardians have been the moneyline underdog in 18 of Griffin's starts this season, and they went 12-6 in those games.

Rays vs Guardians Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Rays win (60.3%)

Rays vs Guardians Moneyline

• Cleveland is a +138 underdog on the moneyline, while Tampa Bay is a -164 favorite at home.

Rays vs Guardians Spread

• The Guardians are +1.5 on the run line against the Rays. The Guardians are -164 to cover, and the Rays are +136.

Rays vs Guardians Over/Under

• The over/under for the Rays versus Guardians game on Oct. 12 has been set at 6.5, with -128 odds on the over and +104 odds on the under.

Bet on Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians on FanDuel today!

Rays vs Guardians Betting Trends

• The Rays have been victorious in 67, or 63.8%, of the 105 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Tampa Bay has a record of 12-7 in contests when oddsmakers favor them by -164 or more on the moneyline.
• The Rays and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 76 of their 162 opportunities.
• The Rays have an against the spread record of 86-76-0 in 162 games with a line this season.
• The Guardians have been the underdog on the moneyline 60 total times this season. They've gone 31-29 in those games.
• Cleveland has a 6-3 record (winning 66.7% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +138 or longer.
• The Guardians have played in 157 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 77 times (77-80-0).
• The Guardians have covered 48.4% of their games this season, going 76-81-0 against the spread.

Rays Player Leaders

• Junior Caminero has 170 hits, which ranks first among Tampa Bay hitters this season, while batting .276 with 68 extra-base hits. He has an on-base percentage of .360 and a slugging percentage of .524.
• Among qualifying hitters, he ranks 33rd in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 30th, and he is sixth in slugging.
• Caminero hopes to build on a two-game hitting streak in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .333 with a double, a home run, three walks and two RBIs.
• Yandy Diaz has hit 22 homers this season while driving in 85 runs. He's batting .293 this season and slugging .446 with an on-base percentage of .359.
• He is 10th in batting average, 33rd in on-base percentage and 50th in slugging in the majors.
• Diaz takes a four-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .300 with a double and a walk.
• Liam Hicks leads Tampa Bay with an OBP of .367 this season while batting .284 with 56 walks and 66 runs scored.
• Chandler Simpson has been key for Tampa Bay with 175 hits, an OBP of .333 plus a slugging percentage of .356.

Guardians Player Leaders

• Chase DeLauter has accumulated 142 hits, a team-best for the Guardians. He's batting .287 and slugging .457 with an on-base percentage of .363.
• Including all the qualified hitters in the majors, he is 16th in batting average, 24th in on-base percentage and 43rd in slugging percentage.
• DeLauter takes a four-game hitting streak into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with two walks and two RBIs.
• Steven Kwan leads his team with a .382 OBP, and has a club-leading .349 slugging percentage. He has a batting average of .282.
• Including all qualified hitters, he is 21st in batting average, seventh in on-base percentage and 131st in slugging percentage.
• Jose Ramirez is batting .235 with 27 doubles, 12 home runs and 60 walks.
• Brayan Rocchio has 25 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 38 walks while hitting .253.

Rays vs Guardians Head to Head

• 7/26/2026: 1-0 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 7/25/2026: 3-0 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 7/24/2026: 11-3 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 4/28/2026: 1-0 TB (Favorite: Guardians, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 4/27/2026: 3-2 TB (Favorite: Guardians, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 9/7/2025: 2-1 CLE (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -158, Underdog Moneyline: +134)
• 9/6/2025: 3-2 CLE (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 9/5/2025: 7-1 CLE (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)
• 9/4/2025: 4-2 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -166, Underdog Moneyline: +140)
• 8/27/2025: 4-3 CLE (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!