NCAAB

North Carolina vs Virginia Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - February 24

Data Skrive
Data Skrive
North Carolina vs Virginia Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - February 24

The No. 10 North Carolina Tar Heels (20-6, 12-3 ACC) visit the Virginia Cavaliers (20-7, 11-5 ACC) in ACC play at John Paul Jones Arena, tipping off at 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, February 24, 2024.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

North Carolina vs. Virginia Game Info and Odds

  • Game Day: Saturday, February 24, 2024
  • Game Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Charlottesville, Virginia
  • Arena: John Paul Jones Arena

North Carolina vs. Virginia Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: North Carolina win (57%)

Before placing a bet on Saturday's North Carolina-Virginia spread (North Carolina -2.5) or total (130.5 points), check out the betting trends and insights below.

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North Carolina vs. Virginia: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • North Carolina has covered 15 times in 26 games with a spread this season.
  • Virginia has won 15 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 12 times.
  • North Carolina covers the spread when it is a 2.5-point favorite or more 60.9% of the time. That's more often than Virginia covers as an underdog of 2.5 or more (25%).
  • The Tar Heels have a worse record against the spread at home (7-5-0) than they do in road games (5-3-0).
  • In 2023-24 against the spread, the Cavaliers have a better winning percentage at home (.667, 10-5-0 record) than away (.444, 4-5-0).
  • North Carolina has nine wins against the spread in 15 conference games this year.
  • Virginia has covered the spread nine times in 16 ACC games.

North Carolina vs. Virginia: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • North Carolina has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 19 games this year and has walked away with the win 16 times (84.2%) in those games.
  • This season, the Tar Heels have been victorious 15 times in 18 chances when named as a favorite of at least -146 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Virginia has compiled a 2-5 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 28.6% of those games).
  • The Cavaliers are 3-4 (winning 42.9% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +122 or longer.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies North Carolina has a 59.3% chance of walking away with the win.

North Carolina vs. Virginia Head-to-Head Comparison

  • North Carolina averages 82.8 points per game (20th in college basketball) while allowing 71.4 per contest (166th in college basketball). It has a +297 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 11.4 points per game.
  • RJ Davis' team-leading 21.3 points per game ranks 10th in the nation.
  • Virginia has a +150 scoring differential, topping opponents by 5.5 points per game. It is putting up 64.1 points per game, 353rd in college basketball, and is giving up 58.6 per outing to rank third in college basketball.
  • Reece Beekman's team-leading 13.9 points per game rank him 412th in college basketball.
  • The Tar Heels record 41.1 rebounds per game (ninth in college basketball) while allowing 34.1 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 7.0 boards per game.
  • Armando Bacot paces the Tar Heels with 10.3 rebounds per game (11th in college basketball action).
  • The Cavaliers record 32.3 rebounds per game (329th in college basketball) while conceding 33.9 per outing to opponents. They are outrebounded by 1.6 boards per game.
  • Ryan Dunn averages 7.0 rebounds per game (172nd in college basketball) to lead the Cavaliers.
  • North Carolina ranks 38th in college basketball by averaging 102.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 58th in college basketball, allowing 88.0 points per 100 possessions.
  • The Cavaliers' 92.8 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 234th in college basketball, and the 84.8 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 16th in college basketball.

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