The No. 3 seed Nicholls State Colonels (18-13, 13-5 Southland) will square off against the No. 7 seed Texas A&M-Commerce Lions (13-19, 6-12 Southland) in the Southland tournament Monday at The Legacy Center, beginning at 8:30 PM ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Nicholls State vs. Texas A&M-Commerce Game Info and Odds

• Game Day: Monday, March 11, 2024
• Game Time: 8:30 PM ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Location: Lake Charles, Louisiana
• Arena: The Legacy Center

Nicholls State vs. Texas A&M-Commerce Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Nicholls State win (67.2%)

Nicholls State is a 5.5-point favorite against Texas A&M-Commerce on Monday and the total is set at 135.5 points. Here's a few betting insights and trends before making an informed wager on the contest.

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Nicholls State vs. Texas A&M-Commerce: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Nicholls State has put together a 17-11-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Texas A&M-Commerce has compiled a 13-16-0 ATS record so far this season.
• Nicholls State covers the spread when it is a 5.5-point favorite or more 80% of the time. That's more often than Texas A&M-Commerce covers as an underdog of 5.5 or more (30.8%).
• Against the spread, the Colonels have performed better when playing at home, covering six times in nine home games, and 11 times in 17 road games.
• The Lions have been better against the spread at home (6-6-0) than on the road (6-10-0) this season.
• Nicholls State's record against the spread in conference action is 11-7-0.
• Texas A&M-Commerce is 9-10-0 against the spread in Southland games this season.

Nicholls State vs. Texas A&M-Commerce: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Nicholls State has been the moneyline favorite in 13 games this season and has come away with the win 10 times (76.9%) in those contests.
• This year, the Colonels have won five of six games when listed as at least -235 or better on the moneyline.
• Texas A&M-Commerce has gone 4-16 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 20% of those games).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +190 or longer, the Lions have a 2-10 record (winning just 16.7% of their games).
• Nicholls State has an implied victory probability of 70.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Nicholls State vs. Texas A&M-Commerce Head-to-Head Comparison

• Nicholls State scores 73.6 points per game (176th in college basketball) and gives up 74.1 (249th in college basketball) for a -15 scoring differential overall.
• Nicholls State's leading scorer, Diante Smith, ranks 254th in the country putting up 15.3 points per game.
• Texas A&M-Commerce's -80 scoring differential (being outscored by 2.5 points per game) is a result of putting up 72.2 points per game (226th in college basketball) while giving up 74.7 per outing (264th in college basketball).
• Kalen Williams paces Texas A&M-Commerce, putting up 16.5 points per game (161st in college basketball).
• The Colonels come up short in the rebound battle by an average of 2.4 boards. They are pulling down 35.4 rebounds per game (169th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 37.8 per outing.
• Jamal West is 127th in college basketball action with 7.5 rebounds per game to lead the Colonels.
• The Lions are 313th in the nation at 32.8 rebounds per game. That's 6.0 fewer than the 38.8 their opponents average.
• Tommie Lewis' 4.3 rebounds per game lead the Lions and rank 876th in the nation.
• Nicholls State puts up 93.4 points per 100 possessions (219th in college basketball), while giving up 94.0 points per 100 possessions (218th in college basketball).
• The Lions' 90.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 275th in college basketball, and the 94.1 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 221st in college basketball.

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