NHL

NHL Daily Fantasy Picks and Helper: Tuesday 3/26/24

Scott Edwards Jr.
Scott Edwards Jr.@ScottEdwardsJr

NHL DFS is similar to MLB in terms of how you build lineups, how you view stacking, and how to value players.

Two main points to always focus on in NHL DFS are what lines the players are on and making sure the goalies you are rostering are confirmed as the starters.

Two of the best resources for that are LeftWingLock.com and DailyFaceOff.com. That is where you can find updated forward and power-play lines for each team, along with which goalies are confirmed as the starters.

Using our projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- as a guide, let's take a look at today's slate to find a goalie, some stacks, and value plays for your NHL DFS lineups on FanDuel.

NHL DFS Picks

Goalie to Target

Pyotr Kochetkov, Carolina Hurricanes ($8,200)

It's a big Tuesday in the NHL as 12 games are scheduled for the slate. The goalie to target from the 24 teams playing tonight is Pyotr Kochetkov, who is in a great spot to deliver for the Carolina Hurricanes.

Carolina will be facing the Pittsburgh Penguins -- a team that has struggled to score all season long. Offensively, the Penguins rank among the best in multiple categories. They're fourth in Corsi for per 60 minutes (CF/60), third in shots for per 60 minutes (SF/60), and third in expected goals for per 60 minutes (xGF/60). And yet, they're all the way down at 22nd in the NHL when it comes to goals for per 60 minutes (GF/60) with just 2.87. Their inability to score is why they will be missing the playoffs this year, and it's why Kochetkov should be able to put up a nice FanDuel output tonight.

Kochetkov, in many ways, has been the answer that the Hurricanes desperately needed.

The 24-year-old has been strong since taking over the starting job, as he's played in 37 games and has totaled a 2.46 goals against average (GAA) and .909 save percentage (SV%). With the offensive style that the Penguins bring, he should be able to rack up FanDuel points by making plenty of stops, especially with one of the best defenses in the league in front of him. The Hurricanes -- owners of a 48.86 Corsi against per 60 minutes (CA/60) -- should be able to slow down the Penguins.

Our projections are expecting a big night for Kochetkov, projecting him for 21.6 FanDuel points.

Stacks

Colorado Avalanche

Stacking the Colorado Avalanche against a bad Montreal Canadiens team? It's a perfect setup for tonight.

All season long, the Avalanche have had one of the best offenses in the NHL. They rank fourth with a 64.24 CF/60, sixth with 32.64 SF/60, eighth with 3.25 xGF/60, and first at 3.72 GF/60. It's those last two numbers that we should be most excited about tonight, especially against a Canadiens squad that isn't good at keeping the puck out of the net.

Montreal is toward the bottom of the league in nearly every defensive category -- not a great spot to be when you're facing an offensive unit like what the Avs boast. The Canadiens are 29th in CF/60 (65.50), 28th in shots against per 60 minutes (32.46 SA/60), 27th in GA/60 (3.34), and 31st in xGA/60 (3.44).

Sam Montembeault will be the one trying to stop the Avalanche, and good luck to him. He hasn't had the best year with a 3.12 GAA and .903 SV%. The Canadiens' goaltender is also coming off a game where he let up four goals.

The Avalanche have an impressive 4.23 implied total tonight, per numberFire's heat map, the second-best on the slate.

The top-line duo of Nathan MacKinnon ($10,600) and Jonathan Drouin ($6,200) as well as the second-line pairing of Mikko Rantanen ($9,900) and Valeri Nichushkin ($8,700) are the best ways to stack this Avs offense tonight.

Dallas Stars

Speaking of great matchups, the Dallas Stars are taking on the San Jose Sharks. That's a good matchup for any team in the NHL, and the Stars' elite offense should have a fun time tonight.

Dallas ranks ninth with a 63.14 CF/60 and second with 3.58 GF/60. As we've talked about all season, the Sharks are still at the very bottom of the league in almost every important defensive category. San Jose is letting up the most GA/60 at nearly four goals a game (3.96) while also having the worst expected total at a 3.64 clip.

The Sharks will start Mackenzie Blackwood in net, giving the Stars more good news. Blackwood is allowing 3.49 goals per game along with a brutal SV% of .897. He's surrendered four goals in each of his last two starts.

It's tough to get a better stack than the Stars' top line. Jason Robertson ($8,000), Joe Pavelski ($6,900), and Roope Hintz ($6,200) offer a powerful trio that can light up the Sharks and DFS lineups. Not only are they the first line, but all three-take part on the first power-play unit, as well.

The Stars have an implied total of 4.26 tonight -- tops of the slate -- so oddsmakers are expecting a potentially huge night from them.

Value Skaters

Jamie Benn, W, Dallas Stars ($5,600)

Jamie Benn has become a classic in the value skater section, and here we are once again.

It shouldn't come as a surprise that you want involvement on the Stars tonight with them facing the Sharks. Benn has continued to evolve this year, as shown by his overall output. Through 72 games, the forward has totaled 16 goals, 33 assists, and 49 points. He comes into this game on a six-game point streak and four-game goal streak. That's the kind of momentum that can keep up in a game against a really bad Sharks team.

While Benn is on the third line for the Stars, he is still getting top power-play minutes, which is a big deal.

Our projections forecast Benn to finish the night with 15.4 FanDuel points.

Casey Mittelstadt, C, Colorado Avalanche ($5,700)

The Avalanche went out of their way at the trade deadline to acquire Casey Mittelstadt, and he has looked good in his first few games with them.

It's been a small sample size, but Mittelstadt has recorded two goals, three assists, and five points in his first seven games with the Avs. He had a stretch of five straight games with points before breaking it last game -- but he should be able to get back in the box score against the Canadiens.

Overall, Mittelstadt has had a great season -- on pace to be the best of his career. He's scored 16 goals while dishing out 36 helpers, good for 52 points.

He can have a nice night in DFS as our projections are expecting 13.1 FanDuel points from him.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.