NHL Daily Fantasy Picks and Helper: Monday 3/4/24

Scott Edwards Jr.
Scott Edwards Jr.@ScottEdwardsJr
NHL Daily Fantasy Picks and Helper: Monday 3/4/24

NHL DFS is similar to MLB in terms of how you build lineups, how you view stacking, and how to value players.

Two main points to always focus on in NHL DFS are what lines the players are on and making sure the goalies you are rostering are confirmed as the starters.

Two of the best resources for that are LeftWingLock.com and DailyFaceOff.com. That is where you can find updated forward and power-play lines for each team, along with which goalies are confirmed as the starters.

Using our projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- as a guide, let's take a look at today's slate to find a goalie, some stacks, and value plays for your NHL DFS lineups on FanDuel.


Goalie to Target

Jacob Markstrom, Calgary Flames ($7,600)

There can be value found at the goalie position tonight, which leads me to Jacob Markstrom as my pick to target for the six-game slate.

The Calgary Flames haven't been a playoff team for much of the season, but the reason they've been in so many games is because of Markstrom. With a plus matchup tonight against the Seattle Kraken, this is as good a shot as any for the goaltender to come through again.

Markstrom has reeled off four straight victories, bringing him to 21-15-2 on the year. And in those games, he's sporting a 2.57 goals against average (GAA) and .914 save percentage (SV%). It gets more impressive in the advanced stats, as Markstrom only trails Connor Hellebuyck in goals saved above expectation (GSAx) at +33.7. No matter where his team has been this season, Markstrom has managed to put together Vezina-like run.

Taking on a Seattle team that is averaging 28.52 shots for per 60 minutes (SF/60), just 2.67 goals for per 60 minutes (GF/60), and 2.81 expected goals for per 60 minutes (xGF/60) shouldn't be much of a problem for the Flames' netminder.

Our projections expect Markstrom to finish with 20.6 FanDuel points tonight -- the second-best total among goaltenders.


Colorado Avalanche

The Colorado Avalanche are usually a team you want to stack, and tonight feels like a night you must get them in your lineups.

Colorado has an insane 4.30 implied total against the Chicago Blackhawks, per numberFire's heat map.

Chicago ranks 26th in Corsi against per 60 minutes (64.02 CA/60), 29th in GA/60 (3.53), and 27th in xGA/60 (3.3).

Meanwhile, the Avalanche are an elite offense, one that should be able to take advantage. While the Avs have a mark of just 62.78 Corsi for per 60 minutes (CF/60), they're averaging an NHL-leading 3.6 GF/60. That should make for a huge offensive night.

When stacking this lineup, I will run with the top Colorado line. Nathan MacKinnon ($10,600), Mikko Rantanen ($9,300), and Artturi Lehkonen ($5,300) play as a trio on the first line and top power-play unit, making them awfully appealing. Cale Makar ($8,400) is also worth considering on the backend.

Vegas Golden Knights

Rolling with the Vegas Golden Knights as a stack in DFS lineups is the right move for tonight's slate.

The Golden Knights will play against the Columbus Blue Jackets, a team that has struggled all season long. Columbus has a 3.38 xGA/60, translating to a 3.6 GA/60 on the season -- which ranks 31st in the NHL. Daniil Tarasov is expected to be in net tonight for the Blue Jackets, and he's had it rough in his 14 starts so far. He's got a 3.62 GAA and .888 SV%, making this matchup all the better.

Vegas hasn't been as strong of an offense as expected, but they're getting the job done. They got a 2.98 xGF/60 but are managing to pot 3.14 GF/60. The good news for them tonight is that they have a solid 3.66 implied total, the second-best of the evening.

Due to Jack Eichel and Mark Stone being out of the lineup, the best way to stack Vegas is the top-line duo of Jonathan Marchessault ($7,700) and William Karlsson ($6,500). The Golden Knights don't have their usual firepower, but they still have a lot of talent. Both Shea Theodore ($6,900) and Alex Pietrangelo ($6,400) are good defensive options, as well.

Value Skaters

Jake DeBrusk, W, Boston Bruins ($4,700)

It hasn't been an easy season, but Jake DeBrusk is in the perfect position to shine tonight against the Toronto Maple Leafs.

Through 60 games, DeBrusk has scored 13 goals while dishing out 14 assists, good for 27 points overall. He hasn't recorded a point in his last five games but has notched 12 shots in that time, showing that he's at least getting chances.

The winger takes up a role on the second line for the Boston Bruins as well as the second power play. Overall, he's averaging 16:51 time on ice, giving him enough playing time to produce in DFS.

Our projections expect DeBrusk to finish with 11.6 FanDuel points.

Ivan Barbashev, W, Vegas Golden Knights ($4,300)

The other value skater to chase tonight comes from one of the top stacks of the day with Ivan Barbashev of the Golden Knights.

Barbashev has had a strong campaign, especially considering his salary of $4,300 -- making him as good of a value as there is for the slate. After 61 games, Barbashev has been able to pot 14 goals along with 21 assists, adding up to 35 points total.

He's been playing in an elevated role due to how many injuries the Knights are dealing with. He's on the left wing of the second line and second power-play unit, giving him all the tools and opportunities to deliver.

Get him in your DFS lineups tonight as our projections have Barbashev forecasted to record 12.2 FanDuel points.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.