NHL

NHL Daily Fantasy Picks and Helper: Monday 2/26/24

Nicholas Vazquez
Nicholas Vazquez@nickvaz

NHL DFS is similar to MLB in terms of how you build lineups, how you view stacking, and how to value players.

Two main points to always focus on in NHL DFS are what lines the players are on and making sure the goalies you are rostering are confirmed as the starters.

Two of the best resources for that are LeftWingLock.com and DailyFaceOff.com. That is where you can find updated forward and power-play lines for each team, along with which goalies are confirmed as the starters.

Using our projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- as a guide, let's take a look at today's slate to find a goalie, some stacks, and value plays for your NHL DFS lineups on FanDuel.

NHL DFS Picks

Goalie to Target

Linus Ullmark, Bruins ($8,600)

We'll target a goalie in the game with the lowest total on this slate.

While Linus Ullmark ($8,600) is the reigning Vezina Trophy winner, he's been relegated to a backup -- or a 1B goalie -- to Jeremy Swayman. There hasn't been too big of a drop between Swayman and Ullmark, though, as Ullmark's .437 goals saved above expected (GSAx) per 60 minutes is only slightly worse than Swayman's .447.

The Boston Bruins are still one of the best defensive teams in the NHL. They have allowed the fourth-fewest goals per game this season, and they have a good matchup today to continue that.

Boston will face the Seattle Kraken. Seattle creates the fourth-fewest expected goals (xG) per 60 minutes, according to Natural Stat Trick.

With Seattle having the lowest implied team total tonight, rostering a great goalie like Ullmark makes a lot of sense.

Stacks

Washington Capitals

The Washington Capitals keep flirting with being contenders for one of the last available playoff spots in the Eastern Conference, and they need a win to keep themselves in the hunt.

Part of the reason they've stayed around in the race is the improved play of Alex Ovechkin ($7,000). He has eight goals in his last nine games. He now has two even-strength linemates who will also play on the power play with him.

Dylan Strome ($5,900) leads the team in goals and is tied with Ovechkin for the team lead in points. Tom Wilson ($4,300) is now replacing T.J. Oshie on the first line and first power play, and he is a great value.

Washington will face the Ottawa Senators at home tonight. Ottawa allows the fifth-most goals per game and has the fourth-worst penalty kill in league.

With the total salary of this stack being low, it would allow for a one-off superstar like Connor McDavid or David Pastrnak to get into your lineups.

Dallas Stars

The Dallas Stars lead the Central Division and are one of the best teams in hockey.

The standout line in this era of Stars hockey is back together again. Joe Pavelski ($6,700) has moved back up to the first line to play with Roope Hintz ($6,700) and Jason Robertson ($7,500).

Hintz leads the team with 23 goals, and Robertson has scored a team-high 57 points. Pavelski hasn't been a slouch, either, chipping in with 20 goals. You could make the case that all of these players have salaries that are too low.

This line is the fourth-most productive at five-on-five in the league this season after being the most productive last season. They all play together on Dallas' first power play, as well.

The Stars will face the New York Islanders on Monday. While the Islanders have seen some improvement under new coach Patrick Roy, it hasn't been spectacular. They are just 4-5-3 during his tenure and still allow 3.29 goals per game.

With Dallas having the highest implied team total on tonight's slate (3.54 goals), I like using this first line as a stack.

Value Skaters

Jake DeBrusk, W, Bruins ($4,700)

Jake DeBrusk ($4,700) was a very productive player for the Bruins last season. He scored 27 goals in 64 games.

While things haven't gone as well for him this season, he's being put in a good position tonight. He'll play on the first line and first power play for Boston alongside David Pastrnak.

Last season, DeBrusk shot 14.2%. This season, he's down to 10.2%. If he can creep back up toward last season's mark, he can score some goals and finish the season strongly.

Rasmus Sandin, D, Capitals ($3,800)

If you're looking to save salary at defense, Rasmus Sandin ($3,800) is a good option.

Sandin will play on the second power-play unit for Washington and sees more than 21 minutes per game. He has points in his last three games and more than 9.6 FanDuel points in four of his last six games.

For just $3,800, you'd take that fantasy outcome, especially on a smaller slate like tonight's.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.