NCAAB

Morehead State vs Little Rock Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - OVC Tournament Championship

Data Skrive
Data Skrive
Morehead State vs Little Rock Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - OVC Tournament Championship

The OVC champion will be named on Saturday when the No. 3 seed Morehead State Eagles (25-8, 14-4 OVC) and the No. 1 Little Rock Trojans (21-11, 14-4 OVC) meet at 8:00 PM ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Morehead State vs. Little Rock Game Info and Odds

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 9, 2024
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Evansville, Indiana
  • Arena: Ford Center

Morehead State vs. Little Rock Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Morehead State win (74.5%)

Morehead State is a 4.5-point favorite over Little Rock on Saturday and the over/under has been set at 135.5 points. Below are a few betting insights and trends if you plan to place a wager on the game.

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Morehead State vs. Little Rock: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • Morehead State is 18-11-0 ATS this season.
  • Little Rock has compiled a 19-13-0 record against the spread this season.
  • As a 4.5-point underdog or more in 2023-24, Little Rock is 1-2 against the spread compared to the 13-6 ATS record Morehead State racks up as a 4.5-point favorite.
  • When playing at home, the Eagles have a better record against the spread (8-3-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (9-7-0).
  • In 2023-24 against the spread, the Trojans have a better winning percentage at home (.722, 13-5-0 record) than on the road (.417, 5-7-0).
  • Morehead State is 12-8-0 against the spread in conference action this season.
  • Against the spread in OVC games, Little Rock is 13-6-0 this year.

Morehead State vs. Little Rock: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • Morehead State has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 22 games this year and has walked away with the win 18 times (81.8%) in those games.
  • This season, the Eagles have come away with a win 17 times in 19 chances when named as a favorite of at least -192 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Little Rock has a 5-7 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 41.7% of those games).
  • The Trojans have played as a moneyline underdog of +158 or longer in only two games this season, which they lost both.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies Morehead State has a 65.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Morehead State vs. Little Rock Head-to-Head Comparison

  • Morehead State averages 75.7 points per game (116th in college basketball) while giving up 63.0 per contest (ninth in college basketball). It has a +417 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 12.7 points per game.
  • Riley Minix's 20.6 points per game lead Morehead State and are 25th in the country.
  • Little Rock outscores opponents by 5.8 points per game (posting 78.1 points per game, 65th in college basketball, and allowing 72.3 per outing, 190th in college basketball) and has a +185 scoring differential.
  • Khalen Robinson's 15.8 points per game paces Little Rock and ranks 209th in college basketball.
  • The Eagles prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 9.2 boards. They are grabbing 39.8 rebounds per game (20th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 30.6 per contest.
  • Minix averages 9.9 rebounds per game (ranking 18th in college basketball) to lead the Eagles.
  • The Trojans are 100th in the country at 36.9 rebounds per game. That's 3.5 more than the 33.4 their opponents average.
  • Jamir Chaplin's 6.5 rebounds per game lead the Trojans and rank 244th in the country.
  • Morehead State's 100.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 58th in college basketball, and the 83.9 points it allows per 100 possessions rank eighth in college basketball.
  • The Trojans score 100.8 points per 100 possessions (57th in college basketball), while allowing 93.3 points per 100 possessions (196th in college basketball).

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