MLB Same Game Parlay Bets to Target: Tuesday 5/21/24

Skyler Carlin
Skyler Carlin@skyler_carlin
MLB Same Game Parlay Bets to Target: Tuesday 5/21/24

Looking for a new way to bet on Major League Baseball this summer? A Same Game Parlay (SGP) at FanDuel Sportsbook might be the answer!

SGPs allow you to combine two or more selections from the same game for a higher potential payout. For more information about parlays, SGP, and SGP+, head over to FanDuel.

Here at FanDuel Research, we're going to provide some SGPs builds to consider based on the games and props available for today, but there are plenty more popular parlay ideas available at FanDuel's Parlay Hub, too!

Which correlated bets stand out for today's MLB slate? Let's dig in.

Note: All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Please check FanDuel Research's projections to make sure you're seeing the most updated projections.

MLB Same Game Parlay Bets for Tuesday 5/21/24

San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds

Andrew Abbott Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130)
Jurickson Profar to Record a Hit (-220)
Tyler Stephenson to Record a Hit (-240)

Combined Odds: +232

Andrew Abbott flashed strikeout upside for the Cincinnati Reds in 2023 with a 26.1% strikeout rate, but he failed to carry over that level of success thus far in 2024. Across nine starts this season, Abbott is in just the 13th percentile in chase rate (23.5%), 13th percentile in whiff rate (19.3%), and 37th percentile in strikeout rate (20.1%) with just an 8.3% swinging-strike rate.

Entering Tuesday's matchup against the San Diego Padres, Abbott has five-plus strikeouts in only three of his first nine starts. Besides having the 11th-lowest strikeout rate (20.6%) versus left-handed pitching, the Padres have the second-lowest strikeout rate (18.7%) in all of baseball since the start of May.

Jurickson Profar has been a pleasant surprise for San Diego this year, producing a .414 wOBA, .217 ISO, 176 wRC+, and just a 7.7% strikeout rate when facing southpaws. Profar is currently on a nine-game hit streak with multiple hits in three of his last four contests.

On the other side, Joe Musgrove is expected to return from a stint on the injured list to make his ninth start of the season for the Padres. Musgrove was showing reverse splits before heading to the IL, allowing a .417 wOBA and 2.55 HR/9 to righties, compared to a .384 wOBA and 1.65 HR/9 to lefties.

Provided those numbers, we'll back Tyler Stephenson to record a hit for the Reds. Stephenson has tallied at least one hit in five of his last seven games -- with multiple hits in four of those contests -- and he's logging a solid .347 wOBA and 120 wRC+ versus right-handed pitching.

Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees

Clarke Schmidt to Record 6+ Strikeouts (-250)
First 5 Innings Result: New York Yankees (-110)
Juan Soto to Record a Run (-145)

Combined Odds: +262

The Seattle Mariners have been a team we can target for strikeout props with pitchers, and that'll remain the case with Clarke Schmidt drawing the start for the New York Yankees on Tuesday. Despite being in just the 29th percentile in chase rate (25.9%), Schmidt is in the 75th percentile in whiff rate (29.4%) and 76th percentile in strikeout rate (27.0%) in his first nine starts of the campaign.

Meanwhile, the Mariners own the highest strikeout rate (28.9%) versus right-handed pitching. Aside from Schmidt posting six-plus Ks in six of his last seven outings, Marcus Stroman -- who isn't much of a strikeout pitcher these days -- racked up six strikeouts against Seattle on Monday.

The month of May has been kind to the Yankees, who have gone 14-4 in their 18 games so far. New York has also secured a lead in the first five innings in 14 of their 18 games in May -- including in each of their last eight contests.

Bryan Woo has been nearly flawless in his first two starts in 2024, giving up just one total earned run in 9.2 innings of action. While Woo has excelled against the Kansas City Royals and the Oakland Athletics at home, he'll have to square off against a hot-hitting Yankees team on the road.

With Woo yet to pitch as the visitor this season, it's worth noting he posted a 4.62 xFIP and 1.28 WHIP on the road in 2023, compared to a 3.73 xFIP and 1.10 WHIP at home. On top of that, Woo struggled against lefties a season ago, permitting a .394 wOBA, 1.75 WHIP, and 2.25 HR/9 in that split.

Given those splits, we'll back Juan Soto to record a run for the Yankees. Along with leading New York in runs scored, Soto has at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances, and he's registering a .432 wOBA, .430 OBP, and 186 wRC+ versus right-handed pitching this year.

Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros

Griffin Canning Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-174)
Kyle Tucker to Record 2+ Total Bases (-110)

Combined Odds: +201

It has been a disastrous start to the season for Griffin Canning ahead of his 10th start for the Los Angeles Angels. Before taking on the Houston Astros on the road, Canning is in the 19th percentile or worse in xERA (5.06), xBA (.273), average exit velocity (91.3 MPH), strikeout rate (16.8%), and barrel rate (10.2%).

Those metrics are a recipe for disaster versus an Astros squad that boasts the lowest strikeout rate (17.8%) when taking on right-handed pitchers, and they have the third-lowest strikeout rate (19.0%) this month. Additionally, Canning is giving up a .367 wOBA and .505 SLG to left-handed hitters, compared to a .289 wOBA and .343 SLG to right-handed batters.

Taking that into consideration, we'll continue to ride the hot hand with Kyle Tucker to tally two-plus bases. Tucker fell one base short of accruing multiple bases on Monday versus the Angels, but he has still achieved two-plus bases in 10 of his last 14 contests.

Against right-handed pitching, Tucker is rocking an impressive .453 wOBA, .333 ISO, and 199 wRC+. With seven homers in his last 14 appearances, Tucker is being given +340 odds to hit a home run on Dinger Tuesday.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.