MLB Same Game Parlay Bets to Target: Friday 7/5/24

Skyler Carlin
Skyler Carlin@skyler_carlin

Looking for a new way to bet on Major League Baseball this summer? A Same Game Parlay (SGP) at FanDuel Sportsbook might be the answer!

SGPs allow you to combine two or more selections from the same game for a higher potential payout. For more information about parlays, SGP, and SGP+, head over to FanDuel.

Here at FanDuel Research, we're going to provide some SGPs builds to consider based on the games and props available for today, but there are plenty more popular parlay ideas available at FanDuel's Parlay Hub, too!

Which correlated bets stand out for today's MLB slate? Let's dig in.

Note: All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Please check FanDuel Research's projections to make sure you're seeing the most updated projections.

MLB Same Game Parlay Bets for Friday 7/5/24

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves

Aaron Nola to Record 6+ Strikeouts (-172)
Trea Turner to Record a Run (-110)
Austin Riley to Record a Hit (-240)

Combined Odds: +342

Aaron Nola may be recording the lowest strikeout rate (23.2%) of his career since his rookie season in 2015, but he's showing positive flashes in recent starts for the Philadelphia Phillies. Aside from tallying six-plus Ks in each of his last three outings, Nola is still in the 82nd percentile in chase rate (31.9%) this year.

Nola's chase rate could come in handy versus an Atlanta Braves squad that has the fourth-highest swing rate on pitches outside of the zone (33.5%) and the third-highest swinging strike rate (12.9%). Additionally, the Braves are logging the eighth-worst wOBA (.291), seventh-worst wRC+ (86), fourth-worst ISO (.133), and fifth-highest strikeout rate (25.9%) in the last 14 days.

Max Fried is expected to make his 17th start of the campaign for Atlanta, and he's given up six-plus hits in four of his last six starts. One right-handed bat who could excel versus Fried on Friday is Trea Turner.

Turner is swinging a hot bat with multiple hits in three of his last four appearances, which has helped him score a run in all four of those contests. The veteran shortstop is also registering a .371 wOBA, 142 wRC+, and .393 OBP when facing left-handed pitching this season.

Even though Nola should rack up a decent number of Ks, Austin Riley could be among the members of the Braves who gets a hit. Riley has posted a hit in eight of his last 10 games while he boasts a .514 wOBA on Nola's primary pitch (sinker) against right-handed hitters.

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres

Christian Walker to Record 2+ Total Bases (+105)
Jackson Merrill to Record 2+ Total Bases (+100)

Combined Odds: +313

Is there a hitter who is hotter than Christian Walker right now? The hard-hitting first baseman on the Arizona Diamondbacks just went 8-for-13 with five homers, nine RBIs, and seven runs in a three-game road series versus the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Following a fantastic series against the Dodgers, Walker will begin a road series versus the San Diego Padres by facing Randy Vasquez. Vasquez is amid a dismal 2024 campaign where he's ranking in the 1st percentile in xERA (6.65), 1st percentile in xBA (.334), 5th percentile in strikeout rate (13.9%), and 24th percentile in barrel rate (9.2%).

On top of that, Vasquez is permitting a .323 wOBA, 1.32 HR/9, and 44.1% flyball rate to right-handed hitters. Walker has totaled two-plus bases in five straight games, which has earned him +390 odds to hit a home run on Friday.

As for the Diamondbacks, Slade Cecconi is the projected starter on the bump. Cecconi is also experiencing a forgettable season as he's in the 41st percentile in xERA (4.12), 33rd percentile in strikeout rate (19.9%), and 8th percentile in barrel rate (11.2%).

Being that Cecconi is allowing a .314 wOBA, 1.47 HR/9, and 49.0% flyball rate to lefties this year, Jackson Merrill is a hitter to target from the Padres. Merrill is seeing the ball well with multiple bases in four of his last six contests -- including two-plus hits in three of his last five appearances.

Given his recent surge in the power department, Merrill is carrying +520 odds to hit a home run. Ahead of an NL West matchup between two struggling starters, this is an enticing game to target for FanDuel's 30% MLB Same Game Parlay Profit Boost.

Milwaukee Brewers at Colorado Rockies

Tyler Glasnow to Record 7+ Strikeouts (-230)
Shohei Ohtani to Record a Run (-210)
Freddie Freeman to Record an RBI (+130)

Combined Odds: +332

The Milwaukee Brewers aren't viewed as a team to target for strikeouts with right-handed pitchers as they are around league average with the 15th-highest strikeout rate (22.6%) in that split. At the same time, they'll be adjusting to not playing at Coors Field following a four-game series against the Colorado Rockies, and Tyler Glasnow is a matchup-proof pitcher.

Glasnow has been racking up plenty of Ks in his debut season with the Dodgers, ranking in the 86th percentile in whiff rate (30.5%) and 96th percentile in strikeout rate (33.9%) through 17 starts. Even though Glasnow tallied just one strikeout in his last outing, he's achieved seven-plus strikeouts in 12 of his last 15 appearances.

Aaron Civale is expected to make his first start for the Brewers since being traded, putting him in a tough spot on the road versus the Dodgers. During his 17 starts for the Tampa Bay Rays in 2024, Civale permitted a .370 wOBA, 1.60 WHIP, and 1.98 HR/9 to lefties, compared to a .318 wOBA, 1.22 WHIP, and 1.42 HR/9 to righties.

Provided those splits, Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman are both primed for notable performances. Ohtani has been hitting out of the leadoff spot sans Mookie Betts, recording a run in 12 of his last 16 games.

Meanwhile, Freeman is sporting a .428 wOBA, 184 wRC+, and .250 ISO when facing right-handed pitchers. Freeman has also notched at least one RBI in eight of his last 13 contests.

With Civale taking the mound for the Brewers, Ohtani is being given +250 odds to hit a home run while Freeman has +450 odds in the same market.

All customers get a 30% Profit Boost to use on a 3+ leg Same Game Parlay for any MLB game happening July 5th! See here for full terms and conditions. Learn about today’s other offers at FanDuel Sportsbook Promos.

Looking for more MLB betting opportunities? Check out all of the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.