Minnesota Twins Odds to Win the World Series

Skyler Carlin
Skyler Carlin@skyler_carlin

The Minnesota Twins are looking to build off a 2023 campaign that saw them clinch a playoff berth for the first time since the 2020 season. While the Twins don't have an abundance of superstar players, they have their sights on making a deep postseason run for the 2024 MLB season.

After advancing to the American League Division Series a season ago, the Minnesota Twins are tied for the eighth-shortest odds to win the World Series at +2000, per the World Series odds on FanDuel Sportsbook. The other teams with +2000 odds to win it all are the Toronto Blue Jays and Seattle Mariners.

Can the Twins compete for their first World Series title since the 1991 season? Let's dive into Minnesota's betting odds, projections, and outlook for the 2024 season.

All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Twins World Series Odds

Twins Betting Odds

Twins Projections

nERD from numberFire. Projections via FanGraphs.

  • nERD: 0.69 (8th-best)
  • Wins: 84 (10th-best)
  • Runs Per Game: 4.64 (19th-best)
  • Runs Allowed Per Game: 4.43 (5th-best)
  • Run Differential: +34 (10th-best)

Twins Analysis

The 2023 campaign was a positive one for the Twins despite falling to the Houston Astros in four games in the ALDS. Minnesota posted an 87-75 record and swept Toronto in the American League Wild Card Series in two games by a combined score of 5-1.

The Twins are a team that is predicated on having a dominant pitching rotation and bullpen. During the 2023 season, Minnesota's pitchers combined for the league lead in skill interactive earned run average (SIERA; 3.77) and strikeout rate (25.9%) while also having the fourth-best WHIP (1.20).

Pablo Lopez -- who registered career-best marks in innings pitched (194.0) and strikeouts (234) in 2023 -- is tied for the third-shortest AL Cy Young odds (+1000) entering this season. As for the bullpen, Jhoan Duran leads the way after logging 27 saves and a 32.9% strikeout rate last year.

Despite boasting a league-worst 26.6% strikeout rate at the plate last season, the Twins still managed to have the seventh-best slugging percentage (.428) and weighted on-base average (wOBA; .327). Besides hoping that Byron Buxton can remain healthy -- he hasn't played in 100-plus games since 2017 -- Minnesota would love to see Royce Lewis build off a 2023 season where he tallied 15 home runs, 52 runs batted in, and a .548 slugging percentage in only 239 plate appearances.

Since the end of last campaign, the Twins have notably lost Jorge Polanco and Sonny Gray. In addition to recently landing Manuel Margot in a trade with the Los Angeles Dodgers to boost their outfield, Minnesota acquired right-handed pitcher Anthony DeSclafani from the Seattle Mariners in exchange for Polanco.

The path to a playoff berth seems fairly straightforward for the Twins due to playing in the weak AL Central, which is why Minnesota is listed as a -140 favorite by the AL Central odds. Minnesota has won the AL Central in three of the last five seasons, with the Cleveland Guardians, Kansas City Royals, Detroit Tigers, and Chicago White Sox being the other teams within the division.

With an elite pitching unit and a formidable group of bats, the Twins are looking to make some noise in 2024. The Twins haven't made it to the American League Championship Series since 2002, so they are hoping to end multiple streaks this year.

Every Team's Odds to Win the World Series

  • Los Angeles Dodgers (+320)
  • Atlanta Braves (+450)
  • Houston Astros (+700)
  • New York Yankees (+800)
  • Texas Rangers (+1400)
  • Philadelphia Phillies (+1500)
  • Baltimore Orioles (+1500)
  • Minnesota Twins (+2000)
  • Toronto Blue Jays (+2000)
  • Seattle Mariners (+2000)
  • St. Louis Cardinals (+3200)
  • Tampa Bay Rays (+3300)
  • Chicago Cubs (+3700)
  • Arizona Diamondbacks (+4000)
  • New York Mets (+5000)
  • Boston Red Sox (+5000)
  • Cincinnati Reds (+5500)
  • San Diego Padres (+6000)
  • Detroit Tigers (+6000)
  • San Francisco Giants (+6500)
  • Cleveland Guardians (+7500)
  • Milwaukee Brewers (+8500)
  • Miami Marlins (+9000)
  • Kansas City Royals (+15000)
  • Los Angeles Angels (+18000)
  • Pittsburgh Pirates (+20000)
  • Washington Nationals +25000)
  • Chicago White Sox (+25000)
  • Oakland Athletics (+50000)
  • Colorado Rockies (+50000)

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.